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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Bank of England Decision in February?

Bank of England Decision in February?
Vol

PM $2.0K

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Events

1

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 25 bps increase at 57%.

Polymarket

  1. 25 bps increase57%
  2. No Change45%
  3. 25 bps decrease2.9%
  4. 50+ bps decrease2.8%
  5. 50+ bps increase2.8%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $2.0K

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the February 2027 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its February 2027 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for February 4, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's February 2027 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of England rate decision in November

Bank of England rate decision in November

PM $442.3K · K 12.6K contracts

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 98.1%Rules differK Yes 98.5%

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 1.5%Rules differK Yes 1%

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of England Cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of England Decision in March?

Bank of England Decision in March?

PM $3.7K
Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the March meeting?Yes 60.5%
Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?Yes 33%
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?Yes 9.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Israel Decision in February?

Bank of Israel Decision in February?

PM $0
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting?Yes 49%
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?Yes 43%
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?Yes 43%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of England decision in December?

Bank of England decision in December?

PM $25.8K
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?Yes 67%
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?Yes 30%
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?Yes 2.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Reserve Bank of India Decision in February?

Reserve Bank of India Decision in February?

PM $435.4
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?Yes 47%
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?Yes 44%
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?Yes 44%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Russia Decision in February?

Bank of Russia Decision in February?

PM $51.24
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the February meeting?Yes 89%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?Yes 50.5%
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?Yes 49%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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