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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Bank of Russia Decision in February?

Bank of Russia Decision in February?
Vol

PM $51.24

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Events

1

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is No Change at 89%.

Polymarket

  1. No Change89%
  2. 25 bps decrease50.5%
  3. 50+ bps increase49%
  4. 25 bps increase41.5%
  5. 50+ bps decrease40%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $51.24

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the key rate resulting from the February 2027 meeting of the Bank of Russia, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Russia, including the statement or release from its February 2027 meeting, scheduled for February 12, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar (https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Russia resulting from its February 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketEconomy
Bank of England Decision in February?

Bank of England Decision in February?

PM $2.0K
Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?Yes 57%
Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the February meeting?Yes 45%
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?Yes 2.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Israel Decision in February?

Bank of Israel Decision in February?

PM $0
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting?Yes 49%
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?Yes 43%
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?Yes 43%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

PM $31.6K
Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 69.5%
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 24%
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 1.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 18, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Reserve Bank of India Decision in February?

Reserve Bank of India Decision in February?

PM $435.4
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?Yes 47%
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?Yes 44%
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?Yes 44%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Russia Decision in March?

Bank of Russia Decision in March?

PM $293.1
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?Yes 48%
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the March meeting?Yes 42%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?Yes 28.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November

Bank of Mexico rate decision in November

PM $165.7K · K 51.0K contracts

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Maintain current rate at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 84%Rules differK Yes 83.5%

Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 16.4%Rules differK Yes 17.5%

Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Hike 25bps at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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