Market snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026 contains...?

Reported volume

PM $10.2K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026 contains...?

Vol

PM $10.2K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is larp at 15.5%.

Polymarket

larp15.5%
agent12%
rot8.6%
maxx8%
rage7.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

9 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"?	Poly	15.5%
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?	Poly	12.0%
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?	Poly	8.6%
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"?	Poly	8.0%
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rage"?	Poly	7.5%
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "bait"?	Poly	4.2%
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "lore"?	Poly	4.0%
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?	Poly	2.5%
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"?	Poly	2.4%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $10.2K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 Word of the Year announced by Merriam-Webster contains the specified string of letters. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified string must appear, in order and without interruption, within the Word of the Year as officially announced. Capitalization, spaces, hyphens, and punctuation will be disregarded when determining whether the string appears (e.g., "rage bait" contains "rage"). The string may appear anywhere within the Word of the Year, including as part of a larger word. Only the word or phrase officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year counts. Shortlisted words, runners-up, or other words highlighted in the announcement will not be considered. If more than one word or phrase is officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if any of them contains the specified string. If Merriam-Webster does not announce a 2026 Word of the Year by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Merriam-Webster; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026 contains...?
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $10.2K
Coverage: 9 of 9 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6263621; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-merriam-webster-2026-word-of-the-year-contain-vibe
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $896.92
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 Word of the Year announced by Merriam-Webster contains the specified string of letters. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified string must appear, in order and without interruption, within the Word of the Year as officially announced. Capitalization, spaces, hyphens, and punctuation will be disregarded when determining whether the string appears (e.g., "rage bait" contains "rage"). The string may appear anywhere within the Word of the Year, including as part of a larger word.

Only the word or phrase officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year counts. Shortlisted words, runners-up, or other words highlighted in the announcement will not be considered. If more than one word or phrase is officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if any of them contains the specified string.

If Merriam-Webster does not announce a 2026 Word of the Year by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Merriam-Webster; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rage"?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6263622; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-merriam-webster-2026-word-of-the-year-contain-rage
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $969.98
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 Word of the Year announced by Merriam-Webster contains the specified string of letters. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified string must appear, in order and without interruption, within the Word of the Year as officially announced. Capitalization, spaces, hyphens, and punctuation will be disregarded when determining whether the string appears (e.g., "rage bait" contains "rage"). The string may appear anywhere within the Word of the Year, including as part of a larger word.

Only the word or phrase officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year counts. Shortlisted words, runners-up, or other words highlighted in the announcement will not be considered. If more than one word or phrase is officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if any of them contains the specified string.

If Merriam-Webster does not announce a 2026 Word of the Year by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Merriam-Webster; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6263623; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-merriam-webster-2026-word-of-the-year-contain-maxx
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $781.95
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 Word of the Year announced by Merriam-Webster contains the specified string of letters. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified string must appear, in order and without interruption, within the Word of the Year as officially announced. Capitalization, spaces, hyphens, and punctuation will be disregarded when determining whether the string appears (e.g., "rage bait" contains "rage"). The string may appear anywhere within the Word of the Year, including as part of a larger word.

Only the word or phrase officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year counts. Shortlisted words, runners-up, or other words highlighted in the announcement will not be considered. If more than one word or phrase is officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if any of them contains the specified string.

If Merriam-Webster does not announce a 2026 Word of the Year by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Merriam-Webster; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "lore"?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6263624; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-merriam-webster-2026-word-of-the-year-contain-lore
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.5K
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 Word of the Year announced by Merriam-Webster contains the specified string of letters. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified string must appear, in order and without interruption, within the Word of the Year as officially announced. Capitalization, spaces, hyphens, and punctuation will be disregarded when determining whether the string appears (e.g., "rage bait" contains "rage"). The string may appear anywhere within the Word of the Year, including as part of a larger word.

Only the word or phrase officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year counts. Shortlisted words, runners-up, or other words highlighted in the announcement will not be considered. If more than one word or phrase is officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if any of them contains the specified string.

If Merriam-Webster does not announce a 2026 Word of the Year by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Merriam-Webster; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6263625; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-merriam-webster-2026-word-of-the-year-contain-larp
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 Word of the Year announced by Merriam-Webster contains the specified string of letters. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified string must appear, in order and without interruption, within the Word of the Year as officially announced. Capitalization, spaces, hyphens, and punctuation will be disregarded when determining whether the string appears (e.g., "rage bait" contains "rage"). The string may appear anywhere within the Word of the Year, including as part of a larger word.

Only the word or phrase officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year counts. Shortlisted words, runners-up, or other words highlighted in the announcement will not be considered. If more than one word or phrase is officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if any of them contains the specified string.

If Merriam-Webster does not announce a 2026 Word of the Year by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Merriam-Webster; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6263626; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-merriam-webster-2026-word-of-the-year-contain-rot
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.4K
Outcome Yes: 8.6%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.4%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 Word of the Year announced by Merriam-Webster contains the specified string of letters. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified string must appear, in order and without interruption, within the Word of the Year as officially announced. Capitalization, spaces, hyphens, and punctuation will be disregarded when determining whether the string appears (e.g., "rage bait" contains "rage"). The string may appear anywhere within the Word of the Year, including as part of a larger word.

Only the word or phrase officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year counts. Shortlisted words, runners-up, or other words highlighted in the announcement will not be considered. If more than one word or phrase is officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if any of them contains the specified string.

If Merriam-Webster does not announce a 2026 Word of the Year by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Merriam-Webster; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6263627; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-merriam-webster-2026-word-of-the-year-contain-agent
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $376.15
Outcome Yes: 12.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 Word of the Year announced by Merriam-Webster contains the specified string of letters. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified string must appear, in order and without interruption, within the Word of the Year as officially announced. Capitalization, spaces, hyphens, and punctuation will be disregarded when determining whether the string appears (e.g., "rage bait" contains "rage"). The string may appear anywhere within the Word of the Year, including as part of a larger word.

Only the word or phrase officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year counts. Shortlisted words, runners-up, or other words highlighted in the announcement will not be considered. If more than one word or phrase is officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if any of them contains the specified string.

If Merriam-Webster does not announce a 2026 Word of the Year by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Merriam-Webster; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6263628; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-merriam-webster-2026-word-of-the-year-contain-slop
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.6K
Outcome Yes: 2.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 Word of the Year announced by Merriam-Webster contains the specified string of letters. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified string must appear, in order and without interruption, within the Word of the Year as officially announced. Capitalization, spaces, hyphens, and punctuation will be disregarded when determining whether the string appears (e.g., "rage bait" contains "rage"). The string may appear anywhere within the Word of the Year, including as part of a larger word.

Only the word or phrase officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year counts. Shortlisted words, runners-up, or other words highlighted in the announcement will not be considered. If more than one word or phrase is officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if any of them contains the specified string.

If Merriam-Webster does not announce a 2026 Word of the Year by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Merriam-Webster; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "bait"?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6263638; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-merriam-webster-2026-word-of-the-year-contain-bait
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $817
Outcome Yes: 4.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 Word of the Year announced by Merriam-Webster contains the specified string of letters. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified string must appear, in order and without interruption, within the Word of the Year as officially announced. Capitalization, spaces, hyphens, and punctuation will be disregarded when determining whether the string appears (e.g., "rage bait" contains "rage"). The string may appear anywhere within the Word of the Year, including as part of a larger word.

Only the word or phrase officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year counts. Shortlisted words, runners-up, or other words highlighted in the announcement will not be considered. If more than one word or phrase is officially named as the 2026 Word of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if any of them contains the specified string.

If Merriam-Webster does not announce a 2026 Word of the Year by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Merriam-Webster; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture

Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026 contains...?

Volume$10.21K

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"?

polymarket

Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "larp"?

Yes: 15.5¢
No: 84.5¢

Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?

polymarket

Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "agent"?

Yes: 12.0¢
No: 88.0¢

Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?

polymarket

Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?

Yes: 8.6¢
No: 91.4¢

Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"?

polymarket

Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"?

Yes: 8.0¢
No: 92.0¢

Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rage"?

polymarket

Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rage"?

Yes: 7.5¢
No: 92.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketCulture

Will the cure (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Kalshi: 2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? (the cure)

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Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Kalshi: Will Choosin’ Texas win Song of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?

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PM Yes 87.5%Rules differK Yes 88.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

24 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

The Game Awards: Game of the Year

PM $114.0K · K 2.65M contracts

Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?

Kalshi: 2026 Game of the Year? (Grand Theft Auto VI)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 85%

Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?

Kalshi: 2026 Game of the Year? (Resident Evil Requiem)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?

Kalshi: 2026 Game of the Year? (Phantom Blade Zero)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 4.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

20 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

Grammy nominees: Album of the Year

PM $125.8K · K 185.2K contracts

Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Kalshi: 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? (you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love)

Related contracts

PM Yes 44%Rules differK Yes 95%

Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Kalshi: 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? (The Art of Loving)

Related contracts

PM Yes 17%Rules differK Yes 91%

Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Kalshi: 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? (Lux)

Related contracts

PM Yes 25%Rules differK Yes 86%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

33 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC

No related news found

Discussion

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Jan 01, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026 contains...?

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