Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Where will Waymo operate before 2028?

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Where will Waymo operate before 2028?

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Detroit, MI at 80%.

Kalshi

Detroit, MI80%
Charlotte, NC62%
Sacramento, CA61%
London, UK54.5%
Portland, OR52.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

18 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Detroit, MI before Jan 1, 2028?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Detroit, MI before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	80.0%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Charlotte, NC before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	62.0%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	61.0%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in London, UK before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	54.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Portland, OR before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	52.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Philadelphia, PA before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	51.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Pittsburgh, PA before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	48.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Toronto, Canada before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	48.0%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in New Orleans, LA before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	48.0%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Baltimore, MD before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	45.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Minneapolis, MN before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	44.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Tokyo, Japan before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	44.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in St. Louis, MO before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	44.0%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	42.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Chicago, IL before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	42.0%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Boston, MA before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	41.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in New York, NY before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	41.0%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	23.5%

Rules & Resolution

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2028 If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within X before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Where will Waymo operate before 2028?
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 18 of 18 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Toronto, Canada before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-TORO; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Toronto, Canada before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Toronto, Canada, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Toronto, Canada may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Toronto, Canada
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Toronto, Canada limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Toronto, Canada
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all us

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Tokyo, Japan before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-TOKY; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 44.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Tokyo, Japan before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Tokyo, Japan, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Tokyo, Japan may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Tokyo, Japan
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Tokyo, Japan limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Tokyo, Japan
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Tokyo, Japa

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in St. Louis, MO before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-STL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 44.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 56.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within St. Louis, MO before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within St. Louis, MO, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within St. Louis, MO may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of St. Louis, MO
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into St. Louis, MO limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within St. Louis, MO
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in St. L

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-SEA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 42.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 57.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Seattle, WA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Seattle, WA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Seattle, WA
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Seattle, WA limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Seattle, WA
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Seattle, WA
Servi

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-SAC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 61.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 39.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Sacramento, CA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Sacramento, CA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Sacramento, CA
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Sacramento, CA limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Sacramento, CA
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Portland, OR before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-POR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 52.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 47.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Portland, OR before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Portland, OR, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Portland, OR may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Portland, OR
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Portland, OR limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Portland, OR
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Portland, O

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Pittsburgh, PA before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-PITT; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Pittsburgh, PA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Pittsburgh, PA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Pittsburgh, PA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Pittsburgh, PA
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Pittsburgh, PA limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Pittsburgh, PA
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Philadelphia, PA before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-PHIL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 51.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 48.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Philadelphia, PA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Philadelphia, PA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Philadelphia, PA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Philadelphia, PA
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Philadelphia, PA limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Philadelphia, PA
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to 

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in New York, NY before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-NY; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 59.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within New York, NY before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within New York, NY, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within New York, NY may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of New York, NY
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into New York, NY limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within New York, NY
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in New York, N

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in New Orleans, LA before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-NEW; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 48.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 52.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within New Orleans, LA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within New Orleans, LA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within New Orleans, LA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of New Orleans, LA
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into New Orleans, LA limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within New Orleans, LA
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all us

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Minneapolis, MN before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-MINN; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 44.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Minneapolis, MN before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Minneapolis, MN, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Minneapolis, MN may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Minneapolis, MN
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Minneapolis, MN limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Minneapolis, MN
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all us

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in London, UK before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-LON; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within London, UK before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within London, UK, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within London, UK may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of London, UK
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into London, UK limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within London, UK
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in London, UK
Service is g

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Detroit, MI before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-DET; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 80.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 20.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Detroit, MI before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Detroit, MI, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Detroit, MI may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Detroit, MI
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Detroit, MI limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Detroit, MI
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Detroit, MI
Servi

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-DC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 23.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 76.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Washington, DC, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Washington, DC may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Washington, DC
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Washington, DC limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Washington, DC
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Chicago, IL before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-CHIC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 42.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 58.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Chicago, IL before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Chicago, IL, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Chicago, IL may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Chicago, IL
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Chicago, IL limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Chicago, IL
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Chicago, IL
Servi

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Charlotte, NC before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-CHAR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 62.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 38.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Charlotte, NC before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Charlotte, NC, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Charlotte, NC may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Charlotte, NC
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Charlotte, NC limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Charlotte, NC
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Charl

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Boston, MA before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-BOST; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 58.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Boston, MA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Boston, MA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Boston, MA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Boston, MA
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Boston, MA limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Boston, MA
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Boston, MA
Service is g

Contract: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Baltimore, MD before Jan 1, 2028?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXWAYMOCITY-27DEC-BALT; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity-27dec
Observed: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Baltimore, MD before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Baltimore, MD, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.

The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Baltimore, MD may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.

Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:

Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Baltimore, MD
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Baltimore, MD limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Baltimore, MD
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Balti

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

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