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Where will Waymo operate before 2028?

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Where will Waymo operate before 2028?

Where will Waymo operate before 2028?
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Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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18 markets tracked

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Detroit, MI before Jan 1, 2028?

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All Markets(18)
MarketOutcome price
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Detroit, MI before Jan 1, 2028?
Yes 80.0%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Charlotte, NC before Jan 1, 2028?
Yes 62.0%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2028?
Yes 61.0%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in London, UK before Jan 1, 2028?
Yes 54.5%
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Portland, OR before Jan 1, 2028?
Yes 52.5%

Event Overview

Before Jan 1, 2028 If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within X before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
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Markets (18)

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KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Detroit, MI before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Detroit, MI before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Detroit, MI before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Detroit, MI, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Detroit, MI may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Detroit, MI Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Detroit, MI limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Detroit, MI Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Detroit, MI Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Detroit, MI Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Detroit, MI All Waymo vehicles in Detroit, MI have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome80.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Charlotte, NC before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Charlotte, NC before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Charlotte, NC before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Charlotte, NC, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Charlotte, NC may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Charlotte, NC Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Charlotte, NC limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Charlotte, NC Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Charlotte, NC Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Charlotte, NC Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Charlotte, NC All Waymo vehicles in Charlotte, NC have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome62.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Sacramento, CA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Sacramento, CA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Sacramento, CA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Sacramento, CA Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Sacramento, CA limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Sacramento, CA Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Sacramento, CA Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Sacramento, CA Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Sacramento, CA All Waymo vehicles in Sacramento, CA have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome61.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in London, UK before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in London, UK before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within London, UK before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within London, UK, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within London, UK may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of London, UK Waymo expands from adjacent areas into London, UK limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within London, UK Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in London, UK Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in London, UK Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in London, UK All Waymo vehicles in London, UK have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome54.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Portland, OR before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Portland, OR before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Portland, OR before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Portland, OR, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Portland, OR may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Portland, OR Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Portland, OR limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Portland, OR Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Portland, OR Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Portland, OR Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Portland, OR All Waymo vehicles in Portland, OR have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome52.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Philadelphia, PA before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Philadelphia, PA before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Philadelphia, PA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Philadelphia, PA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Philadelphia, PA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Philadelphia, PA Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Philadelphia, PA limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Philadelphia, PA Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Philadelphia, PA Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Philadelphia, PA Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Philadelphia, PA All Waymo vehicles in Philadelphia, PA have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome51.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Pittsburgh, PA before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Pittsburgh, PA before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Pittsburgh, PA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Pittsburgh, PA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Pittsburgh, PA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Pittsburgh, PA Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Pittsburgh, PA limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Pittsburgh, PA Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Pittsburgh, PA Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Pittsburgh, PA Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Pittsburgh, PA All Waymo vehicles in Pittsburgh, PA have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome48.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Toronto, Canada before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Toronto, Canada before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Toronto, Canada before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Toronto, Canada, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Toronto, Canada may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Toronto, Canada Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Toronto, Canada limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Toronto, Canada Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Toronto, Canada Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Toronto, Canada Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Toronto, Canada All Waymo vehicles in Toronto, Canada have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome48.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in New Orleans, LA before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in New Orleans, LA before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within New Orleans, LA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within New Orleans, LA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within New Orleans, LA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of New Orleans, LA Waymo expands from adjacent areas into New Orleans, LA limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within New Orleans, LA Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in New Orleans, LA Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in New Orleans, LA Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in New Orleans, LA All Waymo vehicles in New Orleans, LA have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome48.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Baltimore, MD before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Baltimore, MD before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Baltimore, MD before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Baltimore, MD, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Baltimore, MD may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Baltimore, MD Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Baltimore, MD limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Baltimore, MD Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Baltimore, MD Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Baltimore, MD Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Baltimore, MD All Waymo vehicles in Baltimore, MD have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome45.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Minneapolis, MN before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Minneapolis, MN before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Minneapolis, MN before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Minneapolis, MN, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Minneapolis, MN may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Minneapolis, MN Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Minneapolis, MN limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Minneapolis, MN Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Minneapolis, MN Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Minneapolis, MN Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Minneapolis, MN All Waymo vehicles in Minneapolis, MN have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome44.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Tokyo, Japan before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Tokyo, Japan before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Tokyo, Japan before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Tokyo, Japan, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Tokyo, Japan may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Tokyo, Japan Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Tokyo, Japan limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Tokyo, Japan Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Tokyo, Japan Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Tokyo, Japan Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Tokyo, Japan All Waymo vehicles in Tokyo, Japan have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome44.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in St. Louis, MO before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in St. Louis, MO before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within St. Louis, MO before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within St. Louis, MO, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within St. Louis, MO may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of St. Louis, MO Waymo expands from adjacent areas into St. Louis, MO limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within St. Louis, MO Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in St. Louis, MO Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in St. Louis, MO Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in St. Louis, MO All Waymo vehicles in St. Louis, MO have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome44.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Seattle, WA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Seattle, WA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Seattle, WA Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Seattle, WA limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Seattle, WA Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Seattle, WA Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Seattle, WA Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Seattle, WA All Waymo vehicles in Seattle, WA have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome42.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Chicago, IL before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Chicago, IL before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Chicago, IL before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Chicago, IL, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Chicago, IL may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Chicago, IL Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Chicago, IL limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Chicago, IL Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Chicago, IL Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Chicago, IL Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Chicago, IL All Waymo vehicles in Chicago, IL have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome42.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Boston, MA before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Boston, MA before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Boston, MA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Boston, MA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Boston, MA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Boston, MA Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Boston, MA limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Boston, MA Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Boston, MA Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Boston, MA Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Boston, MA All Waymo vehicles in Boston, MA have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome41.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in New York, NY before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in New York, NY before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within New York, NY before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within New York, NY, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within New York, NY may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of New York, NY Waymo expands from adjacent areas into New York, NY limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within New York, NY Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in New York, NY Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in New York, NY Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in New York, NY All Waymo vehicles in New York, NY have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome41.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2028?

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Washington, DC, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Washington, DC may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Washington, DC Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Washington, DC limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Washington, DC Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Washington, DC Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Washington, DC Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Washington, DC All Waymo vehicles in Washington, DC have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome23.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
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