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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Name: LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
End: 2026-05-04T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$666.19

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Vol

$666.19

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $666.19

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $666.19

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

37 markets tracked

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(37)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	73%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	73%
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Poly	69%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	67%
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner	Poly	63%
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner	Poly	63%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	51%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	46%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	14%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	14%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	14%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	14%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	13%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	13%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	8%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$666.19

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Sentinels in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Sentinels. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win the match against LYON. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 4, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Sentinels in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Sentinels.

This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win the match against LYON.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match begins but is 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Sentinels in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Sentinels.

This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win the match against LYON.

If the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $666
* **Total Liquidity:** $17.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $666
  DATA: [LYON: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [Sentinels: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [LYON: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [Sentinels: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [LYON: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [Sentinels: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [LYON: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Sentinels: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [LYON: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Sentinels: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [LYON: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Sentinels: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Volume$666.19

Markets37

37 of 37

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 72.5¢No 27.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

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Average Yes Price

45¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/VzMb8e" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season"></iframe>

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LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

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Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Markets (37)

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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