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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?

Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
Vol

PM $474.1K

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Events

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Markets

3

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31, 2026 at 80.4%.

Polymarket

  1. December 31, 202680.4%
  2. November 30, 202617%
  3. October 31, 20260.9%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $474.1K

Reported volume · provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Variational officially launches a governance token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational (https://x.com/variational_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiCrypto
Who will launch a token this year?

Who will launch a token this year?

PM $21.00M · K 92.4K contracts

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Exponent launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9%Rules differK Yes 25.5%

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Kalshi: Will Arc launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Ostium launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 10.6%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $3.69M
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 98.5%
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 94.8%
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 93.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?

Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?

PM $854.8K
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 99.6%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 99.4%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 99.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will LI.FI launch a token by ___?

Will LI.FI launch a token by ___?

PM $82.1K
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 27.5%
Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 8.5%
Will LI.FI launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 7%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will QFEX launch a token by ___?

Will QFEX launch a token by ___?

PM $70.8K
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 51%
Will QFEX launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 48%
Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 29.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Will Betmoar launch a token by ___?

Will Betmoar launch a token by ___?

PM $59.7K
Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 46%
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 35%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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