Name: IR Iran vs. New Zealand
End: 2026-06-16T01:00:00.000Z

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IR Iran vs. New Zealand | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Poly	59%
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Poly	30%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Poly	26%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** IR Iran vs. New Zealand
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 16, 2026 (61 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 15, 2026 between IR Iran and New Zealand.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 15, 2026
If IR Iran wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this ma"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29
* **Total Liquidity:** $463
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 16, 2026): Vol $27
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 16, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

60d 14h remaining

Jun 16, 2026 1:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

38¢

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IR Iran vs. New Zealand

IR Iran vs. New Zealand

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Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

IR Iran vs. New Zealand

Markets (3)

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

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Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

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IR Iran vs. New Zealand

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

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