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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
Vol

PM $89.4K

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Events

1

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Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 14.5%.

Polymarket

  1. December 3114.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $89.4K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
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Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

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Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 31%
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Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Andy Burnham announce their departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 6.6%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
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Next leader out of power before 2027?

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Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

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1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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