BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers a single Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET" [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The contract therefore compares an average over the window with the starting price, not the price at the window's end. A reader comparing it with a contract on a different asset, a different window, or a spot price should check these wording differences first.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices are "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot values from the provider, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.000 in this snapshot.
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-01T00:51:03.117Z [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-01T12:10:00.000Z, and the provider status at retrieval was "active" [1]. The title's window is expressed in Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should convert carefully before comparing timing. The listed end time is a provider field, not an announcement of when the outcome will be published.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, and the coverage record shows that all saved markets are included with no partial sample [1]. Because only the two outcomes listed are saved, no comparison with other contracts or platforms is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are, and it does not report trading activity, trader counts, or liquidity. The volume field is not supplied, so no claim about depth is possible.
Because the snapshot was taken at 00:00 UTC and retrieved later, it describes the market at those times only. It does not show the current price, and it does not show the outcome, which the evidence does not include. The provider's sample note also states that inclusion of all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Any reading of these two prices should be limited to what the rules and timestamps support.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval crypto contract on Polymarket titled "BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET" [1]. The contract is a binary market on the price direction of BNB over one five-minute window. Its title sets the time range, and the contract rules say it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over that range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The price measured is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream generated by Chainlink. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream, not other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because a trader reading a different exchange's price for BNB would not necessarily be looking at the figure that decides the contract. At the observation time recorded for this entry, the market was listed with two outcomes. The snapshot showed "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are observed prices at one moment, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The listed end time is 2026-11-01T12:10:00Z, which is later than the retrieval time for this entry, so the contract was still open when the source was retrieved [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the specified five-minute window finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome depends on an average over the window compared with a starting price, a move that is brief within the window does not by itself decide the result. The rules explicitly tie the outcome to the named data stream rather than to any other market [1]. Readers should check the contract rules in the source before relying on the outcome definition, since the entry summarizes them rather than replacing them [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of BNB over the stated time range, generated by Chainlink, is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price feed is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules say the market is about that price and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
What do the listed prices show?
The recorded snapshot showed "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 at the observation time. These are snapshots and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
When does the listed contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T12:10:00Z [1]. The title refers to the window from 7:05 AM to 7:10 AM ET, so the end time and the window are separate pieces of information in the source.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.