Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

Reported volume

PM $25.4K

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Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

Vol

PM $25.4K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 290K-305K at 31.5%.

Polymarket

290K-305K31.5%
275K-290K25.5%
305K-320K22%
260K-275K15.3%
320K+7.2%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?	Poly	31.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 275,000 and 290,000?	Poly	25.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 305,000 and 320,000?	Poly	22.0%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 260,000 and 275,000?	Poly	15.3%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be 320,000 or more?	Poly	7.2%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be less than 230,000?	Poly	0.7%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 230,000 and 245,000?	Poly	0.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 245,000 and 260,000?	Poly	0.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $25.4K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $25.4K
Coverage: 8 of 8 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be less than 230,000?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3697432; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-less-than-230000
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.1K
Outcome Yes: 0.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 230,000 and 245,000?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3697433; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-230000-and-245000
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $945.35
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 245,000 and 260,000?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3697434; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-245000-and-260000
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $868.58
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 260,000 and 275,000?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3697435; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-260000-and-275000
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.5K
Outcome Yes: 15.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 275,000 and 290,000?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3697436; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-275000-and-290000
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.5K
Outcome Yes: 25.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 74.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3697437; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-290000-and-305000
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $8.1K
Outcome Yes: 31.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 68.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 305,000 and 320,000?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3697438; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-between-305000-and-320000
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.7K
Outcome Yes: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be 320,000 or more?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3697439; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-alaska-be-320000-or-more
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.7K
Outcome Yes: 7.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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