GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

USD/JPY: Close Price End of 2026

Name: USD/JPY: Close Price End of 2026
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.44K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

USD/JPY: Close Price End of 2026

Vol

$3.44K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.44K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.44K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 150 and 160?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 150 and 160?	Poly	40%
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 140 and 150?	Poly	28%
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 160 and 170?	Poly	16%
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be less than 140?	Poly	13%
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 170 and 180?	Poly	7%
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be at least 180?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$3.44K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026. Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar d

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** USD/JPY: Close Price End of 2026
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (117 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.

Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar d

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.

Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.

If the recorded data falls exactly between "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be less than 140?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $478
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 140 and 150?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $189
  DATA: [Yes: 28.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 150 and 160?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 160 and 170?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $397
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 170 and 180?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $136
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be at least 180?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance