GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026

Name: Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.04K

Events

Markets

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Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026

Vol

$10.04K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.04K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.04K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000?	Poly	28%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?	Poly	25%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?	Poly	20%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 60,000 and 65,000?	Poly	16%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?	Poly	16%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000?	Poly	9%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?	Poly	8%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 80,000 and 85,000?	Poly	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

28%

Top Probability

$10.04K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (117 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $16.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.62)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $329
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 60,000 and 65,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $684
  DATA: [Yes: 16.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $544
  DATA: [Yes: 24.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 80,000 and 85,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $475
  DATA: [Yes: 6.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $584
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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