Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Primeira Liga: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Name: Primeira Liga: Teams relegated (2026-27)
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$11.44K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Primeira Liga: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Vol

$11.44K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $11.44K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.44K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will Rio Ave be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Rio Ave be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	63%
Will Nacional be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	59%
Will Casa Pia be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	52%
Will Estoril Praia be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	33%
Will Marítimo be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	18%
Will Académico de Viseu be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	14%
Will Alverca be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	13%
Will Estrela da Amadora be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	12%
Will Famalicão be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	12%
Will Moreirense be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	12%
Will Braga be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	10%
Will Vitória de Guimarães be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	5%
Will Arouca be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	5%
Will Gil Vicente be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	4%
Will Benfica be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	3%
Will Santa Clara be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	3%
Will Porto be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	3%
Will Sporting CP be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$11.44K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Primeira Liga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Primeira Liga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Primeira Liga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Primeira Liga. If the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, pos

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Primeira Liga: Teams relegated (2026-27)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2027 (263 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Primeira Liga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Primeira Liga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Primeira Liga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Primeira Liga.

If the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, pos

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Primeira Liga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Primeira Liga for the following season through their "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.66)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Sporting CP be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $35
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Benfica be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Porto be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $829
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Braga be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $772
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Vitória de Guimarães be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Santa Clara be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Famalicão be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.1% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Estoril Praia be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $563
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Casa Pia be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Arouca be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $72
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.1% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Moreirense be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Rio Ave be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Gil Vicente be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $85
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Estrela da Amadora be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Nacional be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $957
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Alverca be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $164
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Marítimo be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Académico de Viseu be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 13.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports