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Events
GroupKALSHI

Larger Governor margin: Lombardo or Jackson?

Larger Governor margin: Lombardo or Jackson?
Vol

K 2.0K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Rick Jackson at 59%.

Kalshi

  1. Rick Jackson59%
  2. Joe Lombardo41%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 2.0K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 On Nov 3, 2026 Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their gubernatorial race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. X margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. Georgia's margin is from the Nov 3, 2026 general election; a Georgia runoff does NOT count. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. X difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Lombardo Yes. This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?

Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?

K 9.8K contracts
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 12 and 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 28.5%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 8 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 24.5%
Will Hannah Pingree's governor margin minus Troy Jackson's Senate margin be between 4 and 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 11.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Larger margin: Graham or Donalds?

Larger margin: Graham or Donalds?

K 3.0K contracts
Will Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin be larger than Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 61.5%
Will Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin be larger than Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 37.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Closest Governor's Race?

Closest Governor's Race?

PM $73.2K · K 1.53M contracts

Will Georgia be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 21%

Will Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 18%Rules differK Yes 21%

Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Kansas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Related contracts

PM Yes 15.3%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

62 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Vermont Governor margin of victory

Vermont Governor margin of victory

K 6.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 69%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 54.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 38%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wyoming Governor margin of victory

Wyoming Governor margin of victory

K 10.7K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Wyoming be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 95.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Wyoming be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Wyoming be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 94.3%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Governor margin of victory

Texas Governor margin of victory

K 323.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 65%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 59.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 48%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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