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Events
GroupKALSHI

Who will run for U.S. Senate in 2028?

Who will run for U.S. Senate in 2028?
Vol

K 13.5K contracts

|
Events

1

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Markets

32

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Ben Wikler at 82.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Ben Wikler82.5%
  2. Tim Burchett75.5%
  3. Angie Nixon68%
  4. Mike Dunleavy51.5%
  5. Carlin Yoder40.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 13.5K contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

32

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Jul 1, 2028 If X has announced that they will run for any United States Senate seat in 2028 after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for a United States Senate seat on the 2028 ballot, and a special election held in 2028 counts. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT count. Announcing a campaign to contest a seat as an independent, or for any party's nomination, resolves to Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the person announces their candidacy.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?

Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?

K 5.4K contracts
Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 81%
Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 76%
Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?Yes 46%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 16, 2028 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Chuck Schumer run for reelection?

Will Chuck Schumer run for reelection?

K 3.7K contracts
Will Chuck Schumer announce a run for Senate in 2028?Yes 33.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 6, 2028 UTC
KalshiElections
Will John Thune run for reelection?

Will John Thune run for reelection?

K 1.5K contracts
Will John Thune announce a run for U.S. Senate in 2028?Yes 78.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 28, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will run for president in 2028?

Who will run for president in 2028?

K 19.8K contracts
Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?Yes 57.5%
Will Andrew Yang announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?Yes 48%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?Yes 33%
+17 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?

K 49.1K contracts
Will Democrats hold at least 42 Senate seats after the 2028 election?Yes 97.5%
Will Democrats hold at least 44 Senate seats after the 2028 election?Yes 95.5%
Will Democrats hold at least 48 Senate seats after the 2028 election?Yes 94.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?

K 14.7K contracts
Will Republicans hold at least 42 Senate seats after the 2028 election?Yes 67.5%
Will Republicans hold at least 44 Senate seats after the 2028 election?Yes 38.5%
Will Republicans hold at least 46 Senate seats after the 2028 election?Yes 33%
+12 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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