Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?

Total Volume

$3.25K

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Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?

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$3.25K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.25K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.25K

100%

Kalshi leads

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11 markets tracked

Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?	Kalshi	76%
Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?	Kalshi	71%
Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?	Kalshi	63%
Will Malcolm Kenyatta announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?	Kalshi	41%
Will Larry Krasner announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?	Kalshi	41%
Will John Fetterman announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?	Kalshi	41%
Will Chris Rabb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?	Kalshi	41%
Will Chrissy Houlahan announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?	Kalshi	41%
Will Susan Wild announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?	Kalshi	21%
Will Brendan Boyle announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?	Kalshi	19%
Will Bob Casey Jr. announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$3.25K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Feb 16, 2028 If X has announced that they will run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028 after Issuance and before Feb 16, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Fede

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Feb 16, 2028

If X has announced that they will run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028 after Issuance and before Feb 16, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Fede

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Susan Wild has announced that they will run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028 after Issuance and before Feb 16, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Susan Wild announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 16, 2028): Vol $29
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 16, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Malcolm Kenyatta announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 16, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Larry Krasner announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 16, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will John Fetterman announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 16, 2028): Vol $410
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Chris Rabb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 16, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 16, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Chrissy Houlahan announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 16, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 16, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Bob Casey Jr. announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 16, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Brendan Boyle announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 16, 2028): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?

Volume$3.25K

Markets11

11 of 11

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KALSHI

Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.0¢No 24.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

If Conor Lamb has announced that they will run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028 after Issuance and before Feb 16, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market

KALSHI

Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.0¢No 29.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

If Summer Lee has announced that they will run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028 after Issuance and before Feb 16, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market

KALSHI

Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

If Chris Deluzio has announced that they will run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028 after Issuance and before Feb 16, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This mar

KALSHI

Will Malcolm Kenyatta announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Malcolm Kenyatta announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

If Malcolm Kenyatta has announced that they will run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028 after Issuance and before Feb 16, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This

KALSHI

Will Larry Krasner announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.0¢No 59.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Larry Krasner announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

If Larry Krasner has announced that they will run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028 after Issuance and before Feb 16, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This mar

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42¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/uDZo60" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?"></iframe>

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Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?

Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?

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Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?

Markets (11)

Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Malcolm Kenyatta announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Malcolm Kenyatta announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Larry Krasner announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Larry Krasner announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

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Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?

Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Conor Lamb announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Summer Lee announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Chris Deluzio announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Malcolm Kenyatta announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Malcolm Kenyatta announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Larry Krasner announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

Will Larry Krasner announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

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