Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will run for president in 2028?

Total Volume

$3.64K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will run for president in 2028?

Vol

$3.64K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.64K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.64K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	44%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	39%
Will Tucker Carlson announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	25%
Will Justin Amash announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	18%
Will Kanye West announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	18%
Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	9%
Will DeAndre Way announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	9%
Will Matthew McConaughey announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will Mark Cuban announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will Larry Hogan announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will Jesse Ventura announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will Jon Stewart announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will Howard Schultz announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will Dwayne Johnson announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will Andrew Yang announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will Aaron Rodgers announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	7%
Will Joe Rogan announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	6%
Will Jamie Dimon announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

44%

Top Probability

$3.64K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Nov 7, 2028 If X has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory commi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will run for president in 2028?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Nov 7, 2028

If X has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory commi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Thomas Massie has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tucker Carlson announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Matthew McConaughey announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Mark Cuban announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Larry Hogan announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Kanye West announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Jesse Ventura announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jon Stewart announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Joe Rogan announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Jamie Dimon announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Justin Amash announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Howard Schultz announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will DeAndre Way announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Dwayne Johnson announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Andrew Yang announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Aaron Rodgers announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will run for president in 2028?

Volume$3.64K

Markets19

19 of 19

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KALSHI

Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

If Thomas Massie has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce

KALSHI

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly a

KALSHI

Will Tucker Carlson announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Tucker Carlson announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

If Tucker Carlson has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce

KALSHI

Will Justin Amash announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.0¢No 82.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Justin Amash announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

If Justin Amash has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce t

KALSHI

Will Kanye West announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kanye West announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

If Kanye West has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce the

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12¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/vDlp5g" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will run for president in 2028?"></iframe>

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Who will run for president in 2028?

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Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will run for president in 2028?

Markets (19)

Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Tucker Carlson announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Tucker Carlson announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Justin Amash announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Justin Amash announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Kanye West announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Kanye West announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

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Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will run for president in 2028?

Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Tucker Carlson announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Tucker Carlson announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Justin Amash announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Justin Amash announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Kanye West announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Will Kanye West announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Related News & Context

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