This PredictPedia contract is a Kalshi event asking about the highest temperature recorded in New York City on October 26, 2026. The rules tie resolution to a specific measurement: the maximum temperature at New York City, CLINYC, for that date, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market in the event asks whether that value falls inside a particular range, such as 68-69 degrees, below 68 degrees, or above 75 degrees [1]. The rules say the official and final value is the maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company. They also note that other forecasting services, such as AccuWeather or Google Weather, may help guide a decision but do not determine the outcome [1]. The rules further state that preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value, so the preliminary reading and the final publication can differ [1]. A status of "Final" on the weather.com or Kalshi pages is described as provided for convenience only and does not guarantee the data is error-free [1]. Timing matters for this contract. The rules set the last trading time at 11:59 PM local time on October 26, 2026, regardless of when data is released [1]. Expiration occurs at the sooner of the first 7:00 or 8:00 AM ET following the release of the October 26 data, or one week after October 26, 2026 [1]. The rules also describe a fallback: if the Exchange determines there is a material error in the initial publication, expiration may be held until a corrected revision is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data is available by the end of that period, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi [1]. The listed end date in the saved market records is November 2, 2026 at 14:00 UTC, but that field is a provider record and does not announce when any event will occur [1]. The city's location and climate help explain why daily highs are hard to pin to a single value, but the sources here do not forecast this day's temperature. Wikipedia describes New York City as having a humid subtropical climate and notes that its coastline is shaped by proximity to the Atlantic Ocean [3]. That background describes the general climate, not the outcome of any specific day. The saved snapshot shows six markets, all in the same event. Their Yes prices were 0.605 for 68-69 degrees, 0.295 for 70-71 degrees, 0.115 for below 68 degrees, 0.015 for 72-73 degrees, and 0.005 each for 74-75 degrees and above 75 degrees [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The Yes prices in this snapshot add up to more than one, which is a reminder that they reflect trading observations rather than a calibrated distribution. A lower price on one range does not show that the market expects that range to be less likely in any independent sense, and differences between contracts do not by themselves identify an opportunity.

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