Steam: Weekly Top Seller
K 6.0K contracts
1
20
Steam: Weekly Top Seller
K 6.0K contracts
1
20
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 4 at 98%.
Kalshi
- Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 498%
- Steam Deck2.5%
- Counter-Strike 21.5%
- War Thunder0.5%
- WARDOGS0.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 6.0K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
20
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026 If X is ranked #1 on Steam's USA Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with STEAM. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event has occurred.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-08T12:00:06.174Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event asks whether a named product will rank first on Steam's weekly sales list. The source states: "If X is ranked #1 on Steam's USA Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Each market in the sample is a separate Yes or No contract on one named title.
The event excerpt also says the market "will close and expire early if the event has occurred," and it lists the end time as "not supplied." [1] The individual market records carry an endDate of 2027-11-10T15:00:00.000Z. [1] That field is a provider close time, not an announced event date. It differs from the November 2026 ranking period in the title, and the evidence does not show which governs settlement. Readers should check the provider's rules directly.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-11-08T12:00:06.174Z and retrieved at 2026-11-08T17:52:30.650Z. [1] They describe that earlier snapshot, not live conditions.
Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 has the highest Yes price in the sample, at 0.955, with No at 0.045. [1] Steam Deck and Counter-Strike 2 are each at 0.025 Yes. Several other titles are at 0.01 Yes, and the rest are at 0.005 Yes. [1] These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
This is a partial sample. The provider event has 20 markets, and 12 are included, selected by Yes price and then volume. [1] Titles outside the 12 are not shown, so their absence does not indicate a lower price. The sample should not be treated as the full field, and it should not be combined with markets from other events or providers.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or number of traders, so the prices cannot be read as depth of market or agreement among participants. It also does not explain why any price moved. The listed close times conflict with the title's ranking period, and no resolution outcome is supplied.
References
- Kalshi: Steam: Weekly Top Seller . Provider data observed 2026-11-08T12:00:06.174Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 8, 2026 UTCOverview
The Steam weekly top sellers event is a Kalshi market about the USA Weekly Top Sellers list on Steam. Each contract asks whether a named title will rank first on the list for the period November 3 to November 10, 2026. The list is described as the Top 100 products by revenue [1]. The rules state that the market resolves to "Yes" if the named product is ranked #1 for that period [1]. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Steam [1]. Each market in the saved event has a Yes outcome and a No outcome, with one title per contract. The rules say the market will close and expire early if the event has occurred [1]. The saved provider status is active, and the listed end time is not supplied [1]. The saved records also carry an end date of November 10, 2027. The rule text describes the ranking window as November 3 to November 10, 2026, so the rule text, not that stored date field, is the better guide to what the contract measures. The saved prices were observed at 12:00 UTC on November 8, 2026. In that snapshot, the Yes price for the Call of Duty Modern Warfare 4 contract was 0.955, while the Yes prices for the Steam Deck and Counter-Strike 2 contracts were 0.025 each [1]. These figures describe that earlier observation only. They are snapshots, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The saved sample is partial. The provider event lists 20 markets, and 12 are included. Inclusion was based on the highest finite Yes price, using the first reported outcome for nonbinary contracts, and then volume [1]. Markets outside the sample are not displayed, so they should not be assumed to be priced lower, and the included markets should not be treated as the full field.
Historical Context
Steam was launched as a software client in September 2003 to provide video game updates automatically for Valve's games. It expanded to distributing third-party titles in late 2005 [3]. The supplied sources do not include the history of the weekly chart or the earlier ranking results.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether one named product holds the number one position on Steam's USA Weekly Top Sellers list for November 3 to November 10, 2026. The list ranks products by revenue, so the contract is about that revenue ranking and not about other measures of popularity [1]. The rule text is the reference for how the market resolves [1]. Because the saved prices are snapshots from a partial sample, they show how the included contracts were priced at one observation time, not how the ranking will turn out [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-08 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for a Yes outcome to resolve?
The rules say the market resolves to Yes if the named product is ranked #1 on Steam's USA Weekly Top Sellers Top 100 products by revenue list for November 3 to November 10, 2026 [1].
Is the market price the probability that a title will be #1?
No. The saved prices are snapshots taken at one observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
When might the market close before the ranking period ends?
The provider notes that the market will close and expire early if the event has occurred [1].
Why does the saved event show only some of its markets?
The saved sample includes 12 of 20 markets. Inclusion was based on the highest finite Yes price, using the first reported outcome for nonbinary contracts, and then volume [1]. Markets outside the sample are not shown.
Is Kalshi connected to Steam?
Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Steam [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
