GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

Name: How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
End: 2026-12-31T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$25.59K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

Vol

$25.59K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $25.59K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.59K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?	Poly	27%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?	Poly	16%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?	Poly	11%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?	Poly	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

27%

Top Probability

$25.59K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarke

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (118 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarke

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $19.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.43)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $10.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech