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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

What animals will Trump say in May?

Name: What animals will Trump say in May?
End: 2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.13K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What animals will Trump say in May?

Vol

$5.13K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.13K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.13K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

29 markets tracked

Will Trump say "Giraffe" in May?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(29)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump say "Giraffe" in May?	Poly	100%
Will Trump say "Lion" in May?	Poly	100%
Will Trump say "Bear" in May?	Poly	100%
Will Trump say "Fish" in May?	Poly	100%
Will Trump say "Shark" in May?	Poly	100%
Will Trump say "Dog" in May?	Poly	74%
Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?	Poly	67%
Will Trump say "Tiger" in May?	Poly	66%
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	Poly	66%
Will Trump say "Bird" in May?	Poly	61%
Will Trump say "Elephant" in May?	Poly	55%
Will Trump say "Bull" in May?	Poly	54%
Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	Poly	53%
Will Trump say "Pig" in May?	Poly	52%
Will Trump say "Frog" in May?	Poly	52%
Will Trump say "Chicken" in May?	Poly	51%
Will Trump say "Whale" in May?	Poly	48%
Will Trump say "Deer" in May?	Poly	48%
Will Trump say "Goat" in May?	Poly	46%
Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	Poly	46%
Will Trump say "Mouse" in May?	Poly	45%
Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?	Poly	42%
Will Trump say "Rabbit" or "Bunny" in May?	Poly	42%
Will Trump say "Snake" in May?	Poly	41%
Will Trump say "Mosquito" in May?	Poly	38%
Will Trump say "Turtle" in May?	Poly	35%
Will Trump say "Kangaroo" in May?	Poly	32%
Will Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in May?	Poly	25%
Will Trump say "Panther" in May?	Poly	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$5.13K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a comp

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What animals will Trump say in May?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a comp

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of contex"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $13.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.39)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump say "Dog" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $664
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump say "Bird" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump say "Eagle" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump say "Giraffe" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump say "Tiger" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $37
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump say "Panther" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trump say "Elephant" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Trump say "Whale" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Trump say "Snake" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Trump say "Kangaroo" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Trump say "Deer" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Trump say "Goat" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Trump say "Bear" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $659
  DATA: [Yes: 99.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.3% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Trump say "Cat" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Trump say "Fish" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $692
  DATA: [Yes: 99.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.3% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Trump say "Mosquito" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $37
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Trump say "Rabbit" or "Bunny" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Trump say "Lion" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $667
  DATA: [Yes: 99.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.2% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Trump say "Pig" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $293
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Trump say "Chicken" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Trump say "Shark" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $782
  DATA: [Yes: 99.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.3% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Trump say "Bull" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Trump say "Frog" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Trump say "Mouse" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Trump say "Turtle" in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics