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Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
Vol

PM $78.0K

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31, 2027 at 66.5%.

Polymarket

  1. December 31, 202766.5%
  2. December 31, 20262.6%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $78.0K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiTech
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

PM $1.61M · K 810.6K contracts

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028?

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PM Yes 60.5%Rules differK Yes 71%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Mar 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 28.5%Rules differK Yes 36%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Feb 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 33.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

K 443.7K contracts
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 7)Yes 99.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 6)Yes 99.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026? (Above 9)Yes 98.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

K 769.1K contracts
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 120)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? (Above 140)Yes 76.5%
How many launches will SpaceX have in Dec 2026? (Above 145)Yes 22%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Starlink subscribers in Q1 2027

Starlink subscribers in Q1 2027

K 0 contracts
Will SpaceX report Above 15.3 million starlink consumer subscribers in Q1 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will SpaceX report Above 15.6 million starlink consumer subscribers in Q1 2027?Yes 93.5%
Will SpaceX report Above 15.9 million starlink consumer subscribers in Q1 2027?Yes 89.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Sep 14, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

PM $48.7K
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Yes 70%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?Yes 59%
Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?Yes 40%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?

PM $4.6K
Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?Yes 97.7%
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in October 2026?Yes 5.9%
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in October 2026?Yes 5.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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