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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22)
Vol

K 432.36 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

8

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 3 at 93%.

Kalshi

  1. Above 393%
  2. Above 483%
  3. Above 567.5%
  4. Above 647.5%
  5. Above 732%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 432.36 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

8

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Related prediction markets

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiTech
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22)

K 603.35 contracts
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026?Yes 92%
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026?Yes 78%
Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026?Yes 64.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/16 - 11/22)

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/16 - 11/22)

K 0 contracts
Will November 20 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/16 - 11/22)?Yes 20%
Will November 18 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/16 - 11/22)?Yes 15%
Will November 16 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/16 - 11/22)?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)

K 47.4K contracts
Will November 15 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/9 - 11/15)?Yes 26%
Will November 11 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/9 - 11/15)?Yes 22%
Will November 14 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/9 - 11/15)?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?

Ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?

PM $0
Will 22+ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?Yes 74%
Will 24+ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?Yes 60%
Will 26+ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?Yes 47%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Peak daily ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?

Peak daily ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?

PM $0
Will 5+ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day week of November 16?Yes 83%
Will 6+ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day week of November 16?Yes 64%
Will 4+ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day week of November 16?Yes 50.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22)

K 284 contracts
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026?Yes 93%
Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026?Yes 89%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026?Yes 80%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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