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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22)
Vol

K 284 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

11

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 170 at 93%.

Kalshi

  1. Above 17093%
  2. Above 17589%
  3. Above 18080%
  4. Above 18566%
  5. Above 19050%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 284 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Related prediction markets

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?

Ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?

PM $274.69
Will 170+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?Yes 88%
Will 175+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?Yes 84%
Will 190+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?Yes 49%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Peak daily ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?

Peak daily ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?

PM $0
Will 30+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on any day week of November 16?Yes 89.5%
Will 32+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on any day week of November 16?Yes 83%
Will 34+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on any day week of November 16?Yes 72%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
7-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on December 31?

7-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on December 31?

PM $40
Will the 7-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait be 24+ on December 31?Yes 52%
Will the 7-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait be 22+ on December 31?Yes 51.5%
Will the 7-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait be 26+ on December 31?Yes 50%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

K 127.7K contracts
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026?Yes 66.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of November?

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of November?

PM $7.8K
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30?Yes 64.5%
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30?Yes 19.5%
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?

PM $6.6K
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?Yes 50%
Will 150-169 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?Yes 17%
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?Yes 13%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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