Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)
K 24.4K contracts
1
7
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)
K 24.4K contracts
1
7
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is November 13 at 19.5%.
Kalshi
- November 1319.5%
- November 1515.5%
- November 1415.5%
- November 1212%
- November 1111.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 24.4K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
7
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
11/9 - 11/15 If Nov X 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes. Daily counts will be evaluated from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available. If multiple days tie for the highest number of transit calls, the market for each tied day will resolve to 1/N, where X is the number of tied days.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
K 97.9K contracts
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)
K 241.9K contracts
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
PM $19.73M · K 9.38M contractsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
Related contracts
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Kalshi: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (November 2026)
K 9.8K contractsHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 9?
PM $843.75
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)
K 70.3K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
