Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026

Total Volume

$40.45K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026

Vol

$40.45K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $40.45K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $40.45K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?	Kalshi	98%
Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.25 Tcf?	Kalshi	97%
Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.50 Tcf?	Kalshi	89%
Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.75 Tcf?	Kalshi	67%
Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 10.00 Tcf?	Kalshi	16%
Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 10.25 Tcf?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$40.45K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above X Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is EIA’s Marcellus formation dry natural gas production series. Monthly average production rates will be converted into monthly volumes using the number of calendar days in each month and summed across January–December 2026. Production from the broader Appalachia region or Utica formation will not be included. EIA publishes the r

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above X Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is EIA’s Marcellus formation dry natural gas production series. Monthly average production rates will be converted into monthly volumes using the number of calendar days in each month and summed across January–December 2026. Production from the broader Appalachia region or Utica formation will not be included. EIA publishes the r

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 

9.00 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is EIA’s Marcellus formation dry natural gas production series. Monthly average production rates will be converted "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $40.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $348
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.25 Tcf?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.75 Tcf?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $8.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.50 Tcf?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 10.25 Tcf?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 10.00 Tcf?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $22.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026

Volume$40.45K

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?

If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 9.00 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is EIA’s Marcellus formation dry natural gas production series. Monthly average production rates will be converted

KALSHI

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.25 Tcf?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.25 Tcf?

If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 9.25 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is EIA’s Marcellus formation dry natural gas production series. Monthly average production rates will be converted

KALSHI

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.50 Tcf?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.50 Tcf?

If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 9.50 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is EIA’s Marcellus formation dry natural gas production series. Monthly average production rates will be converted

KALSHI

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.75 Tcf?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.75 Tcf?

If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 9.75 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is EIA’s Marcellus formation dry natural gas production series. Monthly average production rates will be converted

KALSHI

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 10.00 Tcf?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 10.00 Tcf?

If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 10.00 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is EIA’s Marcellus formation dry natural gas production series. Monthly average production rates will be converted

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

61¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/mIvXJM" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026

Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026

Markets (6)

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.25 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.25 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.50 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.50 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.75 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.75 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 10.00 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 10.00 Tcf?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.25 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.25 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.50 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.50 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.75 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.75 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 10.00 Tcf?

Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 10.00 Tcf?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget