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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Vol

PM $23.3K

|
Events

1

|
Markets

4

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is $7.000+ at 28%.

Polymarket

  1. $7.000+28%
  2. $9.000+22%
  3. $8.000+14%
  4. $10.000+8%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $23.3K

Reported volume · provider units

4

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

PM $28.3K · K 43.2K contracts

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4%Rules differK Yes 1%

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.8%Rules differK Yes 3%

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.8%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

PM $21.4K · K 29.7K contracts

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6%Rules differK Yes 1%

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.6%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% in Oct 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

PM $24.3K · K 41.5K contracts

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.72% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.2%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.76% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.75% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.84% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.9%Rules differK Yes 1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026?

Unemployment rate in Nov 2026?

PM $614.9K · K 60.3K contracts

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?

Kalshi: Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? (Exactly 4.5%)

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 50.5%

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?

Kalshi: Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? (Exactly 4.4%)

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 50.5%

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Kalshi: Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)

Related contracts

PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 50.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

PM $19.0K · K 25.8K contracts

Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.64% in Oct 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 24%Review neededK Yes 20%

Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.60% in Oct 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 3%Review neededK Yes 13.5%

Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.55% in Oct 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 4%Review neededK Yes 7.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

PM $71.9K · K 396.1K contracts

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?

Kalshi: Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q4 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 60.5%Rules differK Yes 31%

Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?

Kalshi: Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q3 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 60.5%Rules differK Yes 58.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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