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What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25)

What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25)
Vol

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Events

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Markets

11

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $0

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
What will Elon post this week? (October 12 - October 18)

What will Elon post this week? (October 12 - October 18)

PM $1.5K
Will Elon post "India" on X this week?Yes 50.5%
Will Elon post "Border" or "Borders" on X this week?Yes 41.5%
Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?Yes 33.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?

OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?

PM $2.1K
Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 40%
Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 36.5%
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 19%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

PM $124.3K
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Yes 19.9%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?Yes 11.8%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

PM $117.7K
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 20, 2026?Yes 2.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 22, 2026?Yes 1.3%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

PM $54.9K
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 94%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 18, 2026?Yes 1.6%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 19, 2026?Yes 1.6%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25)

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25)

K 268.66 contracts
Will October 25 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?Yes 14.5%
Will October 24 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?Yes 14.5%
Will October 23 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/19 - 10/25)?Yes 14.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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