Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

Total Volume

$5.58K

Events

Markets

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When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

Vol

$5.58K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $5.58K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.58K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?	Kalshi	76%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?	Kalshi	53%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?	Kalshi	52%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?	Kalshi	51%
Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?	Kalshi	28%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$5.58K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026-27 winter season If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Bald Mountain, Sun Valley, conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov X 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of the general public uphill for downhill skiing or snowboarding on terrain designated open for that use by Bald Mountain, Sun Valley. The opening calendar day is determined in Eastern Tim

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026-27 winter season

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Bald Mountain, Sun Valley, conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov X 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of the general public uphill for downhill skiing or snowboarding on terrain designated open for that use by Bald Mountain, Sun Valley. The opening calendar day is determined in Eastern Tim

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Bald Mountain (Sun Valley) conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 5, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 28, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 26, 2026): Vol $270
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 19, 2026): Vol $215
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 12, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

Volume$5.58K

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.0¢No 24.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Bald Mountain (Sun Valley) conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry

KALSHI

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Bald Mountain (Sun Valley) conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Dec 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry

KALSHI

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Bald Mountain (Sun Valley) conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Dec 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry m

KALSHI

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Bald Mountain (Sun Valley) conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Dec 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry

KALSHI

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Bald Mountain (Sun Valley) conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry

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52¢

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When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

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Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

Markets (5)

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?

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Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?

Will Bald Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?

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