Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

Total Volume

$7.89K

Events

Markets

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When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

Vol

$7.89K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.89K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.89K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?	Kalshi	93%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?	Kalshi	89%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?	Kalshi	14%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 15, 2026?	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$7.89K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026-27 winter season If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Aspen Mountain conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov X 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of the general public uphill for downhill skiing or snowboarding on terrain designated open for that use by Aspen Mountain. The opening calendar day is determined in Eastern Time. The season runs from

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026-27 winter season

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Aspen Mountain conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov X 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of the general public uphill for downhill skiing or snowboarding on terrain designated open for that use by Aspen Mountain. The opening calendar day is determined in Eastern Time. The season runs from

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Aspen Mountain conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 5, 2026): Vol $710
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 28, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 15, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 21, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 19, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 12, 2026): Vol $428
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

Volume$7.89K

Markets5

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KALSHI

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Aspen Mountain conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Dec 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of t

KALSHI

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Aspen Mountain conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Dec 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of th

KALSHI

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Aspen Mountain conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of t

KALSHI

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Aspen Mountain conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of t

KALSHI

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 15, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 15, 2026?

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Aspen Mountain conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of t

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/xSFhHH" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?"></iframe>

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When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

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Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

Markets (5)

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 15, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 15, 2026?

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Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 15, 2026?

Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 15, 2026?

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