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Events
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Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?
Vol

PM $9.6K

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Events

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Markets

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $9.6K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?

Bitcoin above ___ on October 30?

PM $438.2K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?Yes >99.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?Yes 99.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?Yes 99.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin price on October 30?

Bitcoin price on October 30?

PM $28.9K
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 30?Yes 56%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 30?Yes 23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 30?Yes 16%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCrypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

PM $121.20M · K 26.82M contracts

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 15.5%Rules differK Yes 19%

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 8.5%

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be below $50000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 7.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

11 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin dominance on October 30?

Bitcoin dominance on October 30?

PM $62.32
Will Bitcoin dominance be between 61.00% and 62.00% on October 30?Yes 51%
Will Bitcoin dominance be between 59.00% and 60.00% on October 30?Yes 50.5%
Will Bitcoin dominance be between 60.00% and 61.00% on October 30?Yes 49%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin hashprice: week of October 26?

Bitcoin hashprice: week of October 26?

PM $0
Will Bitcoin hashprice be less than $30 for the week of October 26?Yes 49.5%
Will Bitcoin hashprice be between $35 and $40 for the week of October 26?Yes 49.5%
Will Bitcoin hashprice be greater than $45 for the week of October 26?Yes 49.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by October 31?

What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by October 31?

PM $7.6K
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31?Yes 22%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by October 31?Yes 20%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by October 31?Yes 5.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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