What companies will Trump say in November?
K 34.5K contracts
1
44
What companies will Trump say in November?
K 34.5K contracts
1
44
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is X / Twitter at 99.5%.
Kalshi
- X / Twitter99.5%
- Pfizer / PFE99.5%
- Eli Lilly / LLY99.5%
- General Motors / GM99.5%
- Fox News99.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 34.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
44
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Before Dec 1, 2026 If X or a plural or possessive form Y is stated by Donald Trump before Dec 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts, Twitter/Truth Social. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical/tense inflections. This market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-08T12:00:06.174Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
This Kalshi event asks whether President Donald Trump will say specified company names before a closing time. The evidence covers only 12 of 44 markets in the saved provider event, so it is a partial sample.
What the contract measures
The rules state that if "X or a plural or possessive form Y is stated by Donald Trump before Dec 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The word or phrase "must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts, Twitter/Truth Social." [1] Official acts "do not count for payout." [1] Each market depends on its own name, so a contract on "Uber" is not interchangeable with one on "Apple / AAPL," even though both belong to the same event.
Timing needs care. The market data lists an endDate of 2026-12-01T15:00:00.000Z [1], while the rules refer to 12:00am ET, which is a different clock time in UTC. The excerpt also states "Listed end time: not supplied." [1] The market will also "close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump." [1]
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-08T12:00:06.174Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-08T14:55:15.169Z [1]. These prices describe that past snapshot, not current trading.
Included Yes prices were: Apple, Eli Lilly, X / Twitter, Pfizer, and Fox News at 0.995; Uber at 0.97; General Motors / GM at 0.955; SpaceX / SPCX at 0.94; Hyundai / HYMTF at 0.915; Nvidia / NVDA at 0.82; Amazon / AMZN at 0.79; and MS NOW / MSNBC at 0.695 [1]. The included markets were selected by highest Yes price, so the sample is top-ranked by that measure. The prices of the 32 omitted markets are not in the evidence, and they should not be assumed lower.
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Price differences between names reflect different contracts, so they do not by themselves indicate an opportunity.
What remains uncertain
No other platform's prices are supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do or how many participants hold each view. It also does not show whether any named company will be stated before the close, and the resolution outcome is not recorded. The provider status was "active" at observation [1]. Readers should check the rules and the listed close time before relying on the timing.
References
- Kalshi: What companies will Trump say in November?. Provider data observed 2026-11-08T12:00:06.174Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 8, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a mentions contract in the Mentions category, titled "What companies will Trump say in November?" [1]. Its listed rules say that a company name or phrase resolves the market to Yes if it is stated by Donald Trump before Dec 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET [1]. The contract is about a future statement, so the evidence describes its rules and the time it was observed, not any outcome that has already occurred. The rules define which statements count. The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, in direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or in written public statements on his personal social media accounts, Twitter or Truth Social [1]. The exact word or phrase counts, as does a plural or possessive form of it [1]. Where a name is written with a slash, such as a company name paired with its ticker, either word satisfies the criterion [1]. The rules also state that official acts, such as executive orders or bills signed, do not count toward payout [1]. Grammatical and tense inflections are mentioned in the rules, but the full wording should be checked for how far they extend. The rules include an early closing provision. The market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump [1]. The listed end time is recorded as not supplied in the provider summary [1], and the market records carry a December 1, 2026 end date field. That date is part of the contract's terms and should not be read as a scheduled event. The saved event contains 44 related markets, and this article covers a partial sample of 12 [1]. Those 12 were selected by ordering up to 12 markets per event by finite Yes price, highest first, then by volume, with missing or invalid prices ranked last. The included set therefore reflects that selection method, not the full field, and the omitted names should not be assumed to have lower or higher prices. Each market is a separate contract on a separate company name, so rankings should not be combined across events or providers. The prices shown are snapshots from a specific observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. Trading volume is not the same as liquidity or the number of traders. A difference in price between two contracts is not, by itself, an arbitrage opportunity, because the contracts have their own wording and settlement conditions.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specified company name, or a permitted form of it, is stated by Donald Trump in the channels the rules name before the stated cutoff [1]. It does not measure whether a company is discussed in general, whether official documents mention it, or how the company performs [1]. Because the rules exclude official acts such as executive orders and signed bills [1], the question is limited to qualifying statements. Its prices are market snapshots from the observed time, so they show how the market was pricing these outcomes at that moment rather than a verified forecast [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-08 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What statements count toward a Yes resolution?
Statements count if President Donald Trump makes them in public statements, in direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or in written public statements on his personal social media accounts, Twitter or Truth Social [1]. The exact word or phrase, or a plural or possessive form, must be used [1].
Do official acts count?
No. The rules state that official acts such as executive orders or bills signed do not count for payout [1].
How are names with slashes handled?
For phrases written with a slash, either of the two words satisfies the criterion [1].
When does the market close early?
The market will close and expire early if the specified word or phrase is stated by President Trump [1].
Does the displayed sample show every company in the event?
No. The sample includes 12 of 44 markets in the saved event and is partial [1]. Those markets were selected by highest Yes price and then volume, so the sample does not represent the full field.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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