#2 Global Netflix Movie this week?
K 1.3K contracts
1
15
#2 Global Netflix Movie this week?
K 1.3K contracts
1
15
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas at 44%.
Kalshi
- Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas44%
- Heartland20%
- Allen10%
- A Dog's Perfect Christmas7.5%
- Reminders of Him2%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 1.3K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
15
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
The chart published on Nov 17, 2026 If X is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Nov 17, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-12T09:00:07.080Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied event asks which title will be the number two Global Netflix Movie. The rule text says that if X is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on Nov 17, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The same excerpt says the charts update on Tuesday, so the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before, and the chart published on Nov 17, 2026 covers the week ending the previous Sunday [1]. The individual market titles, however, refer to "#2 Global Netflix Movie on Nov 16, 2026" [1]. Readers should confirm which date governs settlement in the full contract before relying on either label.
The excerpt also states "Listed end time: not supplied," while the market records carry an endDate of 2026-11-23T15:00:00.000Z [1]. These details do not clearly match, so this summary does not treat that end date as confirmed.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-11-12T09:00:07.080Z and retrieved at 2026-11-12T10:22:46.344Z [1]. They describe that moment only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Among the 12 included markets, Yes prices range from 0.24 for Heartland and for Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas, to 0.22 for A Dog's Perfect Christmas, 0.10 for Allen, and 0.02 for several titles [1]. Each record also shows a No price, which is the complement of the Yes price in this snapshot [1]. The several 0.02 contracts are tied, so the data does not order them further.
The sample is ordered by finite Yes price and then volume [1]. The evidence does not show the prices of the 3 omitted markets, so it does not indicate whether they were priced higher or lower. Volume reflects trading activity, not liquidity or the number of traders.
These are different titles with different contract outcomes. Their prices should not be averaged or combined into a single forecast, and differing prices alone do not indicate an opportunity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it contains no news about the titles. It also does not include the omitted markets' prices, the full field of 15 markets, or the final Netflix chart [1]. Only one snapshot is supplied, so no price movement over time can be assessed. The Nov 16 and Nov 17 date references and the unsupplied end-time field should be verified against the full contract before settlement timing is interpreted.
References
- Kalshi: #2 Global Netflix Movie this week?. Provider data observed 2026-11-12T09:00:07.080Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 12, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract asks whether a specific title will be ranked second on Netflix's global movie chart for a given week. Under the contract rules, it resolves to Yes if the named title is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on Nov 17, 2026 [1]. The rules say the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday, so the market closes at 11:59 PM ET on the day before the chart is published. The rules also state that the chart published on Nov 17, 2026 covers the week ending the previous Sunday [1]. The individual market titles refer to Nov 16, 2026, while the rule text names the chart published on Nov 17, 2026 [1]. The rule text is the place to check the exact wording of how a contract settles, so readers should not rely on a title alone for the date. Netflix is described in background sources as an American subscription video on-demand streaming service that distributes original and acquired films and television shows [3]. Its original films can also include titles first screened in cinemas in other countries or given exclusive broadcast in other territories [2]. The sources supplied for this topic do not explain how the Top 10 chart is calculated, so this article does not describe its methodology. The saved market sample was observed on 12 November 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It includes 12 of the 15 markets listed under this provider event. At that observation, the included Yes prices were 0.24 for Heartland, 0.24 for Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas, 0.22 for A Dog's Perfect Christmas, 0.09 for Allen, and 0.02 for each of The Day After Tomorrow, Kidnapped in Her Own Home: The Martha Carelli Story, Reminders of Him, Funny Money: The Dane Cook Story, Thanksgiving, Sniper: The Last Stand, Sing, and Sing 2 [1]. The three omitted markets have no prices shown here, so nothing can be inferred about them. These prices are snapshots from a partial sample. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they are not a complete ranking of every possible title.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single placement: whether a named title holds the second position on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart for the week covered by the chart published on Nov 17, 2026 [1]. It does not measure viewership totals, ratings, or any other ranking. Because each contract names one title, prices on different titles in the same event reflect separate yes or no questions about the same chart rather than a single shared outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-12 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes a contract resolve to Yes?
A contract resolves to Yes if the named title is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on Nov 17, 2026 [1].
When does the market close?
The rules say the Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday, so the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart is published [1]. The provider status for the event lists the end time as not supplied, so the rule text should be checked for the exact timing [1].
Is this contract endorsed by Netflix?
No. The contract rules state that the market and its products have not been endorsed by Netflix, and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1].
Why do some market titles show Nov 16 when the rules name Nov 17?
The individual market titles refer to Nov 16, 2026, while the rule text refers to the chart published on Nov 17, 2026 [1]. The rule text is the reference for how the contract is described, and it should be checked directly before relying on a title.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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