What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 17)
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9
What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 17)
PM $5.0K
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9
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1 at 85.5%.
Polymarket
- Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 185.5%
- Black Doves: Season 213%
- The Body: Season 11.6%
- Nobody Wants This: Season 31.1%
- Power: Season 11.1%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
9
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Snapshot observed 2026-11-12T15:00:05.990Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event asks which show will be ranked the number one global Netflix show in the update expected on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET, which reflects viewership from the previous Monday to Sunday [1]. The provider states that the ranking is "based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only)" [1]. A tie is resolved by "the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically" [1]. If the update does not occur by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-18T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That time falls before the November 20 fallback deadline in the rules, so readers should not assume the listed close time is the only relevant timing point.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-12T15:00:05.990Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-12T16:35:40.322Z [1]. These figures are snapshots from those times, not current quotes or verified probabilities. All nine saved markets come from one Polymarket event, so no cross-platform comparison applies. The highest Yes price is 0.855 for "Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1," followed by 0.1295 for "Black Doves: Season 2" [1]. The other seven Yes prices range from 0.005 to 0.0155 [1]. Within each contract, the Yes and No prices sum to 1 [1]. Across all nine Yes prices, however, the total is about 1.05, so the saved prices do not form a single consistent distribution. Even so, that gap does not by itself indicate an opportunity, because the figures are not executable quotes.
What remains uncertain
The sample is marked as including all nine saved markets, with partialSample set to false [1]. The provider also cautions that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Prices for shows not listed here cannot be inferred from this snapshot. The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it does not confirm whether Netflix will publish the update as scheduled.
References
- Polymarket: What will be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 17). Provider data observed 2026-11-12T15:00:05.990Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 12, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia contract asks which show will rank first on Netflix's global Top 10 TV list in the update the contract associates with Tuesday, November 17, 2026. The contract states that Netflix is expected to update its list on top10.netflix.com at 3:00 PM ET that day, reflecting viewership from the previous week, Monday through Sunday [1]. The word "expected" matters here. The rules describe the scheduled update, but the contract does not itself confirm that Netflix has announced or completed it. The contract resolves to whichever show that update ranks as the number one global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows, and the contract limits this to English-language titles [1]. If several shows tie for first place, the market resolves to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically [1]. The contract also has a fallback. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The provider lists an end time of 2026-11-18T04:59:00Z for the market, which is the contract's closing time and not the time Netflix publishes its list. Because the contract closes before the November 20 fallback deadline, readers should treat the closing time, the expected update time, and the fallback deadline as three separate dates. The individual market entries in this event each ask whether a particular title will be the top show. Their prices are snapshots from the observation time shown in the application, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. A higher price on one title reflects only what that snapshot recorded, and it does not show how the ranking will turn out.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single, specific output: the title Netflix places first on its global Top 10 TV list in the weekly update that the rules tie to November 17, 2026 [1]. The ranking uses total global views for English-language TV shows, as reported by Netflix, so the contract tracks Netflix's own published viewing figures rather than outside measures of popularity [1]. Because the rules spell out tie-breaking and a fallback to "Other" if the update does not occur by the stated deadline, the outcome depends on both the ranking and whether the publication happens in time [1]. For someone reading the market, that means the question is narrower than general popularity. It concerns one published ranking for one reporting week.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-12 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What single outcome decides this contract?
The contract resolves based on which show the Netflix update ranks as the number one global Netflix show [1]. The ranking is based on total global views as reported by Netflix for English-language TV shows [1].
What happens if two shows tie for first place?
If multiple shows tie for number one, the contract resolves according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically [1].
What happens if Netflix does not publish the update in time?
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
Which week does the ranking cover?
The contract says the update reflects viewership from the previous week, Monday to Sunday [1].
Does the contract confirm that Netflix will publish the list on the stated date?
No. The rules say Netflix is expected to update the list on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET [1]. That is a scheduled expectation written into the contract rules, not a confirmed announcement from Netflix.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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