Top Global Netflix Movie this week?
K 6.9K contracts
1
15
Top Global Netflix Movie this week?
K 6.9K contracts
1
15
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Heartland at 44%.
Kalshi
- Heartland44%
- Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas41.5%
- A Dog's Perfect Christmas4.5%
- Allen2.5%
- Funny Money: The Dane Cook Story2.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 6.9K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
15
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
The chart published on Nov 17, 2026 If X is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Nov 17, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-12T03:00:06.009Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event is a set of Kalshi markets asking whether a specific title will be the top global Netflix movie on a given chart. Each market resolves to Yes if its title is number one on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on Nov 17, 2026, according to the rule text [1]. The market titles, however, refer to "Nov 16, 2026" [1]. Readers should treat the rule text as the controlling wording and note the mismatch.
The rules also say the charts are updated on Tuesday and that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before, with the chart covering the week ending the previous Sunday [1]. The listed end time in the saved data is 2026-11-23T15:00:00Z for every included market, but the excerpt also says the listed end time is not supplied [1]. The rule-based close and the listed end date therefore do not clearly match, and this snapshot does not resolve that difference.
Reading the snapshot
The data was observed at 2026-11-12T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-11-12T07:08:20Z [1]. These are past times relative to the retrieval, so the prices describe that observation only and should not be read as live quotes.
The Yes prices in the included sample are: The Gospel of Christmas at 0.55, Heartland at 0.27, Allen at 0.03, A Dog's Perfect Christmas at 0.025, Funny Money: The Dane Cook Story at 0.025, and several titles at 0.02, plus Heist at 0.015 [1]. Among these, the highest quoted Yes price is for The Gospel of Christmas. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. Twelve of 15 markets from this provider event are included [1]. The selection ranks markets by Yes price, so the three omitted markets are not shown here, and this excerpt does not provide their prices. Do not treat the included list as the complete field, and do not compare these prices with markets from other events or providers.
What remains uncertain
The excerpt does not explain why any price moved, how many traders hold each position, or how liquid these markets are. Volume is not liquidity or trader count. The excerpt also does not show the final Netflix chart or any resolution outcome. Because the title mismatch and the close-time difference are unresolved in this data, readers should check the current contract rules on the provider's page before relying on dates. Differences between markets' prices are not, by themselves, an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: Top Global Netflix Movie this week?. Provider data observed 2026-11-12T03:00:06.009Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 12, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract is a weekly prediction market on which title will rank first on Netflix's global movie chart. The provider, Kalshi, lists it under the title "Top Global Netflix Movie this week?" [1]. Under the contract rules, a market resolves to Yes if the named title is number one on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on November 10, 2026 [1]. Netflix updates these charts on Tuesdays, and the chart published on that date covers the week ending the previous Sunday [1]. The rules state that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET on the day before the chart is published [1]. Netflix is an American subscription video on-demand streaming service that distributes original and acquired films and television shows across many genres and in multiple languages [2]. The chart in this contract is one of the service's public rankings, so the contract depends on Netflix's own publication of its Top 10 list rather than on a separate measure of viewing. Kalshi states that the market has not been endorsed by Netflix and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1]. The saved event includes twelve individual markets, one for each title in the event, and all twelve are included in the record [1]. Each market is a separate Yes or No question about whether one specific title will be number one. The price shown for each outcome is a snapshot from the moment the data was recorded and is not an executable quote or a verified probability. A higher Yes price for one title does not mean that title has a higher chance of resolving Yes than another title would at a different time, and differences between contracts are not an arbitrage opportunity by themselves.
Historical Context
Netflix, Inc. is described as an American media company founded on August 29, 1997, by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph in Scotts Valley, California. The company is currently based in Los Gatos, California, and it is described as the first streaming media company to be a member of the Motion Picture Association [3]. This background explains the company's origin but does not describe the current state of its charts or the contract's status on any particular date.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow, specific outcome: whether one named title is ranked first on Netflix's global movie chart for a particular publication. Because the rule is tied to a single published chart, the result depends on Netflix's announced ranking rather than on general popularity or on any other metric [1]. The resolution rule also means that traders following the market need to track the Tuesday publication schedule and the closing time, which the provider places at 11:59 PM ET on the day before the chart is published [1]. The market titles refer to November 9, 2026, while the rule text refers to the chart published on November 10, 2026 [1], so readers should check the full provider rules for how the title dates apply.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-09 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract resolve on?
It resolves to Yes if the named title is number one on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on November 10, 2026 [1]. The rules describe this chart as covering the week ending the previous Sunday [1].
When does the market close?
The provider states that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET on the day before the chart is published, because Netflix updates its charts on Tuesday [1]. The saved market records also list an end date of November 16, 2026, at 15:00 UTC, but the provider text describes the closing rule in terms of the chart publication [1].
Is this contract endorsed by Netflix?
No. The provider states that the market and its products have not been endorsed by Netflix, and that references to Netflix are descriptive only [1].
What does a price in this market represent?
The price is a snapshot recorded at a specific time, and it is not an executable quote or a verified probability [1]. Volume is also not a measure of liquidity or of how many people are trading.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
