GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

Name: Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$14.41K

Events

Markets

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Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

Vol

$14.41K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $14.41K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.41K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?	Poly	7%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?	Poly	6%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?	Poly	2%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$14.41K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (118 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $45.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.32)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by  October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance