PredictPedia's event page covers a Kalshi weather event titled "Where will it rain on Nov 13, 2026?" The event is listed in the Climate and Weather category and asks whether measurable precipitation will fall in a set of cities on November 13, 2026 [1]. Each city has its own binary contract, with a Yes and a No outcome. The provider event page showed the status as active when it was saved [1]. The resolution rule is the core of the contract. A market resolves to Yes if total precipitation for November 13, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches [1]. Trace amounts and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches [1]. The rules say the official and final value is the one reported by The Weather Company, and they note that other sites such as AccuWeather or Google Weather may be consulted but do not set the outcome [1]. The rules also state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider event listing did not supply a listed end time [1]. The contract end dates shown on the individual city markets are database fields for those contracts and are not an announced event time or a confirmed resolution date. The saved city markets show Yes and No prices as snapshots. For example, the New York City market showed a Yes price of 0.965 and a No price of 0.035 at the observation time [1]. The Chicago market showed Yes at 0.675 and No at 0.325 in the same snapshot. These are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of rain. A higher Yes price in one city does not mean the weather outcome is more certain there, and differences between cities should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity, because each city is a separate contract with its own timing and rules. The market sample is partial. The saved event contains 34 markets, and 12 are included in this record [1]. The included markets were selected by Yes price in descending order, then by volume, and the selection is limited to the saved provider event [1]. The included count describes this saved event only, so the sample should not be read as the full field of cities, and it should not be ranked against markets from other events or providers. Volume in the sample describes trading activity, not liquidity or the number of traders. A separate Wikipedia article covers a November 2026 flash flood event in Florida, which reports 24 inches of rain in Malabar in 24 hours and two deaths in Brevard County [2]. That article concerns Florida and is not part of this contract's resolution rules. Wikipedia retrieval does not verify the article's content or confirm current conditions.

Historical Context

A Wikipedia article titled "November 2026 Florida floods" describes a flash flood event in Florida in November 2026, with 24 inches (610 mm) of rain reported in Malabar in 24 hours and two deaths reported in Brevard County [2]. The article is background on that event only. It does not set the rules of the Kalshi contract, and its retrieval date does not establish that the described conditions are current.

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