Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Liga Nacional (Guatemala): Teams relegated (2026-27)

Name: Liga Nacional (Guatemala): Teams relegated (2026-27)
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$553.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Liga Nacional (Guatemala): Teams relegated (2026-27)

Vol

$553.00

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $553.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $553.00

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Suchitepéquez be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Suchitepéquez be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	Poly	74%
Will Aurora FC be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	Poly	38%
Will Cobán Imperial be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	Poly	24%
Will Guastatoya be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	Poly	24%
Will Marquense be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	Poly	24%
Will Xelajú MC be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	Poly	14%
Will Municipal be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	Poly	13%
Will Antigua GFC be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	Poly	13%
Will Mixco be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	Poly	12%
Will Malacateco be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	Poly	11%
Will San Pedro be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	Poly	11%
Will Comunicaciones be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?	Poly	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

Top Probability

$553.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Liga Nacional (Guatemala) at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Liga Nacional (Guatem

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Liga Nacional (Guatemala): Teams relegated (2026-27)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 1, 2027 (263 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Liga Nacional (Guatemala) at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Liga Nacional (Guatem

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Liga Nacional (Guatemala) at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $553
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.48)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Antigua GFC be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Aurora FC be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Cobán Imperial be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $180
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Comunicaciones be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Guastatoya be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $148
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Malacateco be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Marquense be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Mixco be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Municipal be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 13.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will San Pedro be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Suchitepéquez be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Xelajú MC be relegated from the 2026-27 Liga Nacional (Guatemala)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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