Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

Total Volume

$6.77K

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Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

Vol

$6.77K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.77K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.77K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	33%
Will Angie Craig be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	20%
Will Steve Simon be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	18%
Will No one be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	13%
Will Amy Klobuchar be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	6%
Will Tim Walz be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	3%
Will Peggy Flanagan be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	3%
Will Melisa López Franzen be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	3%
Will Keith Ellison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	3%
Will Erin Murphy be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	3%
Will Betty McCollum be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	3%
Will Ilhan Omar be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

33%

Top Probability

$6.77K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Feb 1, 2027 If X officially holds the position of United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the role status becomes definitively determined. This market will close and expire early if the role status becomes definitively determined.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Feb 1, 2027

If X officially holds the position of United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the role status becomes definitively determined. This market will close and expire early if the role status becomes definitively determined.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tim Walz officially holds the position of United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the role status becomes definitively determined."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tim Walz be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $207
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Steve Simon be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Peggy Flanagan be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will No one be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $448
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Melisa López Franzen be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $94
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Keith Ellison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $156
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ilhan Omar be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Erin Murphy be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $169
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Betty McCollum be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Amy Klobuchar be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $401
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Angie Craig be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

Volume$6.77K

Markets12

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KALSHI

Will Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

If Kelly Morrison officially holds the position of United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the role status becomes definitively determined.

KALSHI

Will Angie Craig be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Angie Craig be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

If Angie Craig officially holds the position of United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the role status becomes definitively determined.

KALSHI

Will Steve Simon be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Steve Simon be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

If Steve Simon officially holds the position of United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the role status becomes definitively determined.

KALSHI

Will No one be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will No one be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

If No one officially holds the position of United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the role status becomes definitively determined.

KALSHI

Will Amy Klobuchar be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Amy Klobuchar be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

If Amy Klobuchar officially holds the position of United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the role status becomes definitively determined.

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9¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/hUBjMm" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?"></iframe>

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Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

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Will Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

Markets (12)

Will Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Angie Craig be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Angie Craig be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Steve Simon be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Steve Simon be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will No one be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will No one be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Amy Klobuchar be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Amy Klobuchar be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

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Will Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

Will Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Angie Craig be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Angie Craig be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Steve Simon be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Steve Simon be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will No one be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will No one be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Amy Klobuchar be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

Will Amy Klobuchar be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?

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