Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?
K 15.6K contracts
1
2
Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?
K 15.6K contracts
1
2
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Ashley Hinson at 57.5%.
Kalshi
- Ashley Hinson57.5%
- Roger Marshall41%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 15.6K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Nov 3, 2026 On Nov 3, 2026 Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their U.S. Senate race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. X margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. X difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Hinson Yes. This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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