Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will Tennessee transportation equipment jobs rise YoY?

Total Volume

$16.73K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will Tennessee transportation equipment jobs rise YoY?

Vol

$16.73K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $16.73K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $16.73K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Tennessee’s annual-average employment in Transportation Equipment Manufacturing for 2026 be above 69,700 jobs?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tennessee’s annual-average employment in Transportation Equipment Manufacturing for 2026 be above 69,700 jobs?	Kalshi	51%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$16.73K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If BLS reports Tennessee’s annual-average employment in Transportation Equipment Manufacturing for 2026 is above 69,700 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is BLS series SMU47000003133600001, All Employees in Transportation Equipment Manufacturing in Tennessee, measured in thousands and not seasonally adjusted. The first officially published 2026 annual-average value will be used. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. This market will close and expire early if

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Tennessee transportation equipment jobs rise YoY?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If BLS reports Tennessee’s annual-average employment in Transportation Equipment Manufacturing for 2026 is above 69,700 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is BLS series SMU47000003133600001, All Employees in Transportation Equipment Manufacturing in Tennessee, measured in thousands and not seasonally adjusted. The first officially published 2026 annual-average value will be used. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. This market will close and expire early if 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If BLS reports Tennessee’s annual-average employment in Transportation Equipment Manufacturing for 2026 is above 69,700 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is BLS series SMU47000003133600001, All Employees in Transportation Equipment Manufacturing in Tennessee, mea"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $16.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tennessee’s annual-average employment in Transportation Equipment Manufacturing for 2026 be above 69,700 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 8, 2027): Vol $16.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics