GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Top AI model this week

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Top AI model this week

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)	Kalshi	97%
What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-fable-5)	Kalshi	3%
What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6)	Kalshi	3%
What will be the top AI model this month? (muse-spark)	Kalshi	1%
What will be the top AI model this month? (gpt-5.5-high)	Kalshi	1%
What will be the top AI model this month? (gemini-3-pro)	Kalshi	1%
What will be the top AI model this month? (gemini-3.1-pro-preview)	Kalshi	1%
What will be the top AI model this month? (ernie-5.1-preview)	Kalshi	1%
What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-7-thinking)	Kalshi	1%
What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-7)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Jul 13, 2026 If X is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank, UB, then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Top AI model this week
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Jul 13, 2026

If X is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank, UB, then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If muse-spark is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will wi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will be the top AI model this month? (muse-spark)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will be the top AI model this month? (gpt-5.5-high)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will be the top AI model this month? (gemini-3-pro)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will be the top AI model this month? (gemini-3.1-pro-preview)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will be the top AI model this month? (ernie-5.1-preview)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-7-thinking)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-fable-5)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-7)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Top AI model this week

Volume$0.00

Markets10

10 of 10

Sort:

KALSHI

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHITech

CLOSING SOON

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most

KALSHI

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-fable-5)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHITech

CLOSING SOON

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-fable-5)

If claude-fable-5 is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes wil

KALSHI

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHITech

CLOSING SOON

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6)

If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes wi

KALSHI

What will be the top AI model this month? (muse-spark)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHITech

CLOSING SOON

What will be the top AI model this month? (muse-spark)

If muse-spark is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will wi

KALSHI

What will be the top AI model this month? (gpt-5.5-high)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHITech

CLOSING SOON

What will be the top AI model this month? (gpt-5.5-high)

If gpt-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

11¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/kS563B" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Top AI model this week"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Top AI model this week

Top AI model this week

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Top AI model this week

Markets (10)

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-fable-5)

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-fable-5)

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6)

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6)

What will be the top AI model this month? (muse-spark)

What will be the top AI model this month? (muse-spark)

What will be the top AI model this month? (gpt-5.5-high)

What will be the top AI model this month? (gpt-5.5-high)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Top AI model this week

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-fable-5)

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-fable-5)

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6)

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6)

What will be the top AI model this month? (muse-spark)

What will be the top AI model this month? (muse-spark)

What will be the top AI model this month? (gpt-5.5-high)

What will be the top AI model this month? (gpt-5.5-high)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget