Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

S&P 2027 year end price

Total Volume

$14.81K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

S&P 2027 year end price

Vol

$14.81K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $14.81K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.81K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	82%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	82%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7400 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	77%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	71%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	68%
Will the S&P 500 be above 8000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	66%
Will the S&P 500 be above 8200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	52%
Will the S&P 500 be above 8400 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	44%
Will the S&P 500 be above 8600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	39%
Will the S&P 500 be above 9000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	35%
Will the S&P 500 be above 8800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	31%
Will the S&P 500 be above 9200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	15%
Will the S&P 500 be above 9400 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	12%
Will the S&P 500 be above 9600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	10%
Will the S&P 500 be above 9800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	9%
Will the S&P 500 be above 10000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	9%
Will the S&P 500 be above 10200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

82%

Top Probability

$14.81K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above X then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** S&P 2027 year end price
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above X then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above 9800, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the S&P 500 be above 9800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the S&P 500 be above 9600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the S&P 500 be above 9400 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the S&P 500 be above 9200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $31
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the S&P 500 be above 9000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the S&P 500 be above 8800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the S&P 500 be above 8600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the S&P 500 be above 8400 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the S&P 500 be above 8200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the S&P 500 be above 8000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the S&P 500 be above 7800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $203
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the S&P 500 be above 7400 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $203
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $231
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the S&P 500 be above 7000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $766
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the S&P 500 be above 10200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $99
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the S&P 500 be above 10000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

S&P 2027 year end price

On Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above X then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$14.81K

Markets17

17 of 17

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above 7200, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be above 7000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the S&P 500 be above 7000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above 7000, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be above 7400 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the S&P 500 be above 7400 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above 7400, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.0¢No 29.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above 7600, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be above 7800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.0¢No 32.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the S&P 500 be above 7800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above 7800, then the market resolves to Yes.

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

42¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/mO3Sji" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="S&P 2027 year end price"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

S&P 2027 year end price

S&P 2027 year end price

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

S&P 2027 year end price

Markets (17)

Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7400 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7400 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

S&P 2027 year end price

Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7200 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7400 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7400 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7800 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget