Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Total Fed dissents in 2027

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Total Fed dissents in 2027

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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14 markets tracked

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 0

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 0	Kalshi	17%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 7	Kalshi	9%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 6	Kalshi	9%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 8	Kalshi	8%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 5	Kalshi	8%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 4	Kalshi	7%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: at least 13	Kalshi	7%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 9	Kalshi	6%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 3	Kalshi	6%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 2	Kalshi	6%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 10	Kalshi	5%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 1	Kalshi	5%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 12	Kalshi	4%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 11	Kalshi	4%

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17%

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$0.00

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About This Event

2027 If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET is exactly X the market resolves to Yes. Counts all qualifying votes cast January 1–December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET. Qualifying dissents at unscheduled or emergency FOMC meetings count. Dissents concerning statement language alone do not count. This market may close and expire early if its outcome is definitively determined.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Total Fed dissents in 2027
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2027

If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET is exactly X the market resolves to Yes. Counts all qualifying votes cast January 1–December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET. Qualifying dissents at unscheduled or emergency FOMC meetings count. Dissents concerning statement language alone do not count. This market may close and expire early if its outcome is definitively determined.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET is at least 13, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Counts all qualifying votes cast January 1–December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET.

Qualifying dissents at unschedul"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Total Fed dissents in 2027: at least 13
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 9
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 8
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 7
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 6
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 5
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 4
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 3
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 2
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 12
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 11
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 10
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 1
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 0
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Total Fed dissents in 2027

Volume$0.00

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KALSHI

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 0

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 0

If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET is exactly 0, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Counts all qualifying votes cast January 1–December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET. Qualifying dissents at unscheduled

KALSHI

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 7

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 7

If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET is exactly 7, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Counts all qualifying votes cast January 1–December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET. Qualifying dissents at unscheduled

KALSHI

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 6

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 6

If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET is exactly 6, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Counts all qualifying votes cast January 1–December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET. Qualifying dissents at unscheduled

KALSHI

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 8

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 8

If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET is exactly 8, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Counts all qualifying votes cast January 1–December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET. Qualifying dissents at unscheduled

KALSHI

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 5

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 5

If the total number of qualifying FOMC dissenting votes cast between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET is exactly 5, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Counts all qualifying votes cast January 1–December 31, 2027, inclusive, in ET. Qualifying dissents at unscheduled

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Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 0

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Events (1)

Total Fed dissents in 2027

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Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 0

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 0

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 7

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 7

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 6

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 6

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 8

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 8

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 5

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 5

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Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 0

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Total Fed dissents in 2027

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 0

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 0

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 7

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 7

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 6

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 6

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 8

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 8

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 5

Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 5

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