Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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US 30Y Treasury yield at 6:00am ET?

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US 30Y Treasury yield at 6:00am ET?

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Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?

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Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.5%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.40% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.5%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.42% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.45% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.44% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.43% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.51% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.50% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.48% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.47% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.46% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	0.0%
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?	Kalshi	0.0%

Rules & Resolution

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Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above X at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: US 30Y Treasury yield at 6:00am ET?
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 16 of 16 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T536; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.36% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.51% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T551; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.51% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.50% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T550; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.50% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T549; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.49% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.48% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T548; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.48% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.47% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T547; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.47% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.46% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T546; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.46% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.45% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T545; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.45% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.44% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T544; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.44% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.43% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T543; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.43% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.42% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T542; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.42% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T541; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.41% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.40% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T540; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.40% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T539; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.39% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T538; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.38% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Contract: Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Oct 19 at 6:00am ET?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YRRATEH-19OCT2606-T537; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30yrrateh-19oct2606
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 100.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.37% at Oct 19, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike.

Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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KALSHIFinancials