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GroupPOLYMARKET

Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?

Will another sitting Australian MP join One Nation in 2026?
Vol

PM $293.81

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Events

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Markets

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Polymarket

Current odds

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As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 53% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes53%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $293.81

Reported volume · provider units

1

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Australian House of Representatives announces that he or she will join Pauline Hanson’s One Nation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement that the individual will transition from independent status or another political party to One Nation will qualify only if the individual is a sitting MP in the Australian House of Representatives at the time of the announcement. This market will resolve based on a qualifying announcement made within the specified timeframe. Once such an announcement is made, whether or when the individual subsequently joins One Nation will not affect the market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant MP or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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