$1.63M
4
55
$1.63M
4
55
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Before Jan 1, 2027 If X has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Charges filed in military courts are included. The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion. <p>Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being name
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Before Jan 2027 If X is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Clarification, 9/25/25: The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes. This marke
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a
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