Monster Energy Drinks Point of Sale Growth in November 2026
K 22.6K contracts
1
11
K 22.6K contracts
1
11
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 13, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 101 at 95.5%.
Kalshi
- Above 10195.5%
- Above 10395%
- Above 10494.5%
- Above 10588%
- Above 10686.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 22.6K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 13, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
This analysis was written from an earlier market snapshot, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed Nov 11, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is titled "Monster Energy Drinks Point of Sale Growth in November 2026" [1]. Under the rules excerpt, the market resolves to Yes if the Carbon Arc index for November 2026 is above the stated threshold [1]. The index is a year-over-year measure in which 100 means spend equal to the same month last year, 103 means 3% more spend, and 97 means a 3% decline [1]. It is measured by Carbon Arc's point-of-sale receipt panel, which includes in-store and online purchases captured via receipt-scanning and rewards apps [1].
Resolution uses finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 2nd calendar day after the month ends [1]. This rule points to a recording time for November's data, but it is a contract rule, not an announced event date. The excerpt also states that the market will close and expire early if the economic data is released [1].
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at Nov 11, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC and retrieved at Nov 11, 2026, 11:19 AM UTC [1]. It covers eleven thresholds on one Kalshi event, from "above 101" to "above 116," and each market is listed as active [1]. For this saved event, all 11 markets are included and the sample is not partial. Omitted thresholds, if any existed, are outside this record and should not be inferred from it.
The Yes prices in the snapshot are 0.945 at 101, 0.905 at 103, 0.865 at 104, 0.83 at 105, 0.66 at 106, 0.555 at 107, 0.445 at 108, 0.165 at 110, 0.12 at 112, 0.065 at 114, and 0.045 at 116 [1]. Read together, the Yes prices decline as the threshold rises, which fits the structure of the contract. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The records also show an endDate of Dec 10, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC for each market, while the event excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The evidence does not resolve this difference, so the listed close time should be checked directly on the provider's page before it is relied on.
What remains uncertain
Only one platform is included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The snapshot does not show why prices sit where they do, and it contains no volume, liquidity, or trader information. The eventual outcome depends on finalized Carbon Arc values that are not yet in the evidence. Because prices were captured about two hours before retrieval, they may have changed since the snapshot.
References
- Kalshi: Monster Energy Drinks Point of Sale Growth in November 2026. Provider data observed Nov 11, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 11, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Monster Energy Drinks Point of Sale Growth in November 2026" [1]. The contract is tied to an index, not to a company's reported financial results. The rules say that if the Carbon Arc Monster Energy Drinks Point of Sale Growth index for November 2026 is above a stated threshold X, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The saved event lists 11 markets, each with a different threshold, and all of them are included in this snapshot. The thresholds run from above 101 to above 116 [1]. The index works as a year-over-year measure. A value of 100 means spending matched the same month a year earlier. Values above 100 indicate growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. The rules give the example that 103 means 3% more spend than the prior year, and 97 means a 3% decline [1]. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's point-of-sale receipt panel. It captures in-store and online purchases through receipt-scanning and rewards apps, and matches them to the same period of the prior year [1]. The rules state that the panel updates daily as new data arrives [1]. Resolution depends on finalized values, not on the daily panel updates. According to the rules, determination uses finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the second calendar day after the end of the month covered by the market [1]. The rules give August as an example, with finalized values recorded on September 2 [1]. Applying the same rule to November 2026 points to December 2, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. ET. The listed end date in the provider data is a separate field and is not stated as the resolution time. The rules also say the market will close and expire early if the economic data is released [1]. At the time of the saved observation, the market was listed as active [1]. The month covered by the contract had not ended, so the index value for November 2026 was not final at that point. The contract's prices reflect only the saved snapshot. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the trading volume figures do not indicate liquidity or how many people traded.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a year-over-year growth index for Monster Energy Drinks point-of-sale activity in November 2026, as recorded by Carbon Arc's receipt panel [1]. Because the index is expressed relative to the same month of the prior year, a threshold above 100 asks whether recorded spending growth will exceed that level, and each threshold is a separate yes or no contract [1]. The contract is therefore a question about a specific measured index value, not about Monster's corporate earnings or any other reported figure. The supplied evidence does not describe how the index has behaved in earlier months, so no trend is discussed here.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-11 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome require?
The market resolves to Yes if the finalized November 2026 value of the Carbon Arc Monster Energy Drinks Point of Sale Growth index is above the threshold named in the specific market [1].
When are the values finalized?
Finalized values are recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the second calendar day after the end of the month covered by the market [1]. For November 2026, the rule implies December 2, 2026 at that time, while the market can close early if the economic data is released [1].
Is the index tied to Monster Energy directly?
The rules state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the underlying company [1]. The index itself is measured by Carbon Arc's receipt panel, and the rules describe it as measuring year-over-year change in point-of-sale spending [1].
Does a price show the probability of an outcome?
The prices in this snapshot are observations at a point in time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they should not be read as a forecast by the provider.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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