Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?

Total Volume

$3.07M

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?

Vol

$3.07M

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.07M

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.07M

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$3.07M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

JFK · October 21, 2026 If the percentage of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at John F. Kennedy International Airport (JFK/KJFK) that are cancelled during October 21, 2026 is at least 50%, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Primary Source Agency or its affiliates. Any references to the Primary Source Agency’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** JFK · October 21, 2026

If the percentage of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at John F. Kennedy International Airport (JFK/KJFK) that are cancelled during October 21, 2026 is at least 50%, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Primary Source Agency or its affiliates. Any references to the Primary Source Agency’s delay and cancellation page, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the percentage of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at John F. Kennedy International Airport (JFK/KJFK) that are cancelled during October 21, 2026 is at least 50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Primary Source Age"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.07M
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $3.07M
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics